Sport Picks

Mafra vs Tirsense - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Portugal

Taça de Portugal

Mafra

Sat, Sep 19, 2026

3 - 2

05:00 PM

Tirsense

Our Tip

Match Events

Sousa C.

16'

Niang M.

92'

Niang M.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 3-2. The second leg ended 3-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%

Mafra

20%

Draws

28%

Tirsense

Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Mafra

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence

Mafra's 1.66 goals per match outpaces what Tirsense have produced (1.33).
Win probability leans Mafra's way, sitting at 60%.
Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
Historical meetings favor Mafra, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 44%

Over 4.5 Goals 20%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%

Mafra Clean Sheet 14%

Tirsense Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Mafra	Tirsense
Matches Played	29	30
Wins	13	13
Draws	5	9
Losses	11	8
Goals Scored	1.66	1.33
Goals Conceded	1.59	0.97
Expected Goals (xG)	1.88	1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2026 Taça de Portugal

Mafra vs Tirsense

3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mafra Compare

Top Goalscorer Niang M.

2 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.45

Avg xA / game 0.94

Tirsense Compare

Top Goalscorer Sousa C.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Paciencia V.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.48

Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mafra 57 / 100

Tirsense 18 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Mafra Tirsense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mafra Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Mafra scored in 93% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 5.00 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Mafra remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Away concern: Tirsense has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Mafra VS Tirsense

2.13 Goals Scored 1.88

1.38 Goals Conceded 1.63

88% Over 1.5 75%

75% Over 2.5 63%

50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Mafra

(Home)

31 Oct

Mafra

2 : 1

Louletano

24 Oct

Caldas SC

3 : 3

Mafra

18 Oct

Mafra

3 : 2

Santa Clara

11 Oct

Mafra

2 : 2

CF Os Belenenses

19 Sept

Mafra

3 : 2

Tirsense

Page 1 of 6

Tirsense

(Away)

01 Nov

GD Braganca

0 : 1

Tirsense

25 Oct

Tirsense

3 : 5

Maia Lidador

11 Oct

Braga B

3 : 2

Tirsense

19 Sept

Mafra

3 : 2

Tirsense

13 Sept

Tirsense

2 : 0

Brito

Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Scroll horizontally to view stages →

1/128-finals

Sporting CP -

TBD -

Alcains 1

Sertanense 0

TBD -

Vitoria Setubal -

Amora -

TBD -

Uniao Da Serra 5

Uniao de Pombal 0

Montijo 0

Atletico CP 4

TBD -

Lagoa -

Bombarralense -

TBD -

Vizela -

Rebordosa 2

FC Alpendorada 3

Macao 5

CF Os Gavionenses 0

TBD -

Casa Pia -

O Elvas CAD 9

Sao Roque 0

TBD -

Leiria -

Rebordelo 0

GD Braganca 4

Celoricense 1

Pevidem 0

Oliveirense 4

Penalva do Castelo 0

TBD -

Penafiel -

Covilha 0

Mortagua FC 1

TBD -

Leca -

FC Porto -

TBD -

Ermesinde 1

Paredes 3

Maria de Fonte 1

Uniao Nogueirense 0

TBD -

Famalicao -

GD Alcochetense 8

Fayal 0

C.F. Benfica 3

Viana Alentejo 0

TBD -

Maritimo -

Ac. Fundao 0

Guarda FC 6

TBD -

Chaves -

UD Ovarense -

TBD -

Fornos de Algodres 0

Os Marialvas 4

Vila Pouca -

TBD -

Brito -

GD Os Nazarenos 0

Vitoria Sernache 3

Varzim 5

Trofense 1

SC Barreiro 2

FC Madalena 5

TBD -

Lusitania FC -

Correlha 1

AD Limianos 4

Ferreiras 0

Aljustrelense 3

Santarem -

TBD -

Merelinense 2

Atletico Arcos 0

TBD -

Gil Vicente -

Olhanense -

TBD -

Messejanense 0

Portel 8

Oliveira Hospital 1

GD Sourense 0

Uniao Montemor 1

Juv. Evora 4

ACDR Lamelas -

TBD -

Portalegrense 0

Santo Antonio 3

TBD -

Vitoria Guimaraes -

TBD -

Braga -

SC Salgueiros 2

Sousense 1

TBD -

Feirense -

TBD -

Estoril -

Nogueirense 1

Naval 1893 3

TBD -

FC Felgueiras -

Pacos Ferreira 0

AD Fafe 1

TBD -

Lajense -

Fazendense 1

Mocarriense 0

TBD -

Figueirense -

TBD -

Estrela da Amadora -

Machico 2

Camacha 3

Florgrade 1

Sao Joao de Ver 0

Castro Daire -

TBD -

Portimonense -

Torreense -

TBD -

Benfica -

Caldas SC 1

Sintrense 3

TBD -

AFS -

TBD -

Moreirense -

Imortal -

TBD -

Tondela -

TBD -

Alverca -

Estrela Calheta -

TBD -

SC Vianense 8

Minas de Argozelo 0

Cinfaes 1

SC Espinho 0

TBD -

Leixoes -

Serpa 2

Grandolense 0

Castrense 0

Louletano 1

TBD -

Rio Ave -

Malveira 2

Mafra 3

TBD -

Tirsense -

TBD -

Santa Clara -

Beira Mar 4

Uniao Lamas 3

Lusitano GC 1

CF Os Belenenses 2

TBD -

Arouca -

Sacavenense 5

SC Angrense 0

TBD -

SC Farense -

Regua 0

AD Marco 09 1

Maia Lidador 1

Vila Mea 0

Fatima 3

SB Castelo Branco 1

TBD -

Vinhais -

TBD -

Academico Viseu -

Anca -

TBD -

Sanjoanense 3

Pacos de Brandao 0

TBD -

Nacional -

1º Dezembro 0

Real SC 1

TBD -

Academica -

CDC Montalegre 0

Ponte da Barca 1

TBD -

Amarante FC -

1/64-finals

Sporting CP -

TBD -

Alcains 0

Vitoria Setubal 2

Amora 3

Uniao Da Serra 4

Atletico CP 4

Lagoa 1

Bombarralense 0

Vizela 1

FC Alpendorada 3

Macao 0

TBD -

Casa Pia -

O Elvas CAD 0

Leiria 2

GD Braganca 6

Celoricense 1

Oliveirense 1

Penafiel 2

Mortagua FC 0

Leca 2

FC Porto -

TBD -

Paredes 5

Maria de Fonte 1

TBD -

Famalicao -

GD Alcochetense 2

C.F. Benfica 0

TBD -

Maritimo -

Guarda FC 2

Chaves 3

UD Ovarense 0

Os Marialvas 1

Vila Pouca 0

Brito 5

Vitoria Sernache 2

Varzim 1

FC Madalena 1

Lusitania FC 3

AD Limianos 3

Aljustrelense 0

Santarem 5

Merelinense 0

TBD -

Gil Vicente -

Olhanense 1

Portel 0

Oliveira Hospital 3

Juv. Evora 2

ACDR Lamelas 4

Santo Antonio 1

TBD -

Vitoria Guimaraes -

TBD -

Braga -

SC Salgueiros 1

Feirense 0

TBD -

Estoril -

Naval 1893 0

FC Felgueiras 2

AD Fafe 4

Lajense 0

Fazendense 6

Figueirense 1

TBD -

Estrela da Amadora -

Camacha 0

Florgrade 1

Castro Daire 0

Portimonense 1

Torreense -

TBD -

Benfica -

Sintrense 0

AFS 2

TBD -

Moreirense -

Imortal 1

Tondela 5

TBD -

Alverca -

Estrela Calheta 1

SC Vianense 3

Cinfaes 0

Leixoes 4

Serpa 1

Louletano 2

TBD -

Rio Ave -

Mafra 3

Tirsense 2

TBD -

Santa Clara -

Beira Mar 0

CF Os Belenenses 2

TBD -

Arouca -

Sacavenense 0

SC Farense 1

AD Marco 09 1

Maia Lidador 0

Fatima 4

Vinhais 1

TBD -

Academico Viseu -

Anca 1

Sanjoanense 4

TBD -

Nacional -

Real SC 1

Academica 4

Ponte da Barca 0

Amarante FC 2

1/32-finals

Sporting CP -

TBD -

Vitoria Setubal 1

Uniao Da Serra 2

Atletico CP 1

Vizela 0

FC Alpendorada 0

Casa Pia 1

Leiria 2

GD Braganca 1

Penafiel 0

Leca 1

FC Porto -

TBD -

Paredes 1

Famalicao 0

GD Alcochetense 1

Maritimo 2

Chaves 2

Os Marialvas 1

Brito 0

Vitoria Sernache 1

Lusitania FC 2

AD Limianos 1

Santarem 2

Gil Vicente 3

Olhanense 2

Oliveira Hospital 1

ACDR Lamelas 0

Vitoria Guimaraes 1

TBD -

Braga -

SC Salgueiros 1

Estoril 2

FC Felgueiras 1

AD Fafe 0

Fazendense 1

Estrela da Amadora 2

Florgrade 1

Portimonense 2

Torreense -

TBD -

Benfica -

AFS 1

Moreirense 0

Tondela 2

Alverca 0

SC Vianense 1

Leixoes 0

Louletano 0

Rio Ave 1

Mafra 3

Santa Clara 2

CF Os Belenenses 3

Arouca 4

SC Farense 3

AD Marco 09 0

Fatima 1

Academico Viseu 0

Sanjoanense 1

Nacional 0

Academica 3

Amarante FC 2

1/16-finals

Sporting CP -

Uniao Da Serra -

Atletico CP -

Casa Pia -

Leiria -

Leca -

FC Porto -

Paredes -

Maritimo -

Chaves -

Vitoria Sernache -

Lusitania FC -

Gil Vicente -

Olhanense -

Vitoria Guimaraes -

Braga -

Estoril -

FC Felgueiras -

Estrela da Amadora -

Portimonense -

Torreense -

Benfica -

AFS -

Tondela -

SC Vianense -

Rio Ave -

Mafra -

Arouca -

SC Farense -

Fatima -

Sanjoanense -

Academica -

1/8-finals

TBD -

Quarter-finals

TBD -

Semi-finals

TBD -

Final

TBD -

Mafra vs Tirsense - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Portugal

Mafra

Tirsense

Match Events

AI Match Summary

Win Probability Meter

Model Confidence

Goal Probability Engine

Recent Team Form Analysis

H2H

Key Player Impact Analysis

Mafra Compare

Tirsense Compare

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Attack & Defence Capability Index

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Scoring Trends

Recent Form & Match History

Mafra

Tirsense

Tournament Bracket & Draw

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