Sport Picks

Portugal

Taça de Portugal

Mafra

Sat, Sep 19, 2026

3 - 2

05:00 PM

Tirsense

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 3-2. The second leg ended 3-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%

Mafra

15%

Draws

48%

Tirsense

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Tirsense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence

Look at the last few games and Mafra come out ahead of Tirsense on wins alone.
Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
Mafra have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
Historical meetings favor Mafra, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 19%

Over 4.5 Goals 9%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%

Mafra Clean Sheet 19%

Tirsense Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Mafra	Tirsense
Matches Played	31	34
Wins	15	14
Draws	5	11
Losses	11	9
Goals Scored	1.52	1.24
Goals Conceded	1.32	0.88
Expected Goals (xG)	1.00	1.27
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2026 Taça de Portugal

Mafra vs Tirsense

3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mafra 32 / 100

Tirsense 30 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Mafra Tirsense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tirsense Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Mafra scored in 90% of their last 31 outings.

H2H data points to 5.00 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Mafra remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Defensive concern: Tirsense conceded in 59% of 34 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Mafra VS Tirsense

1.5 Goals Scored 1.17

1.38 Goals Conceded 0.5

75% Over 1.5 50%

50% Over 2.5 33%

38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Mafra

(Home)

12 Sept

Oliveirense

2 : 1

Mafra

05 Sept

Mafra

1 : 0

Covilha

29 Aug

Malveira

2 : 3

Mafra

22 Aug

Lusitano GC

2 : 1

Mafra

15 Aug

Atletico CP

1 : 1

Mafra

Page 1 of 7

Tirsense

(Away)

13 Sept

Tirsense

2 : 0

Brito

06 Sept

Celoricense

2 : 1

Tirsense

23 Aug

Tirsense

3 : 0

Vinhais

16 Aug

Rebordosa

0 : 1

Tirsense

29 Jul

Tirsense

0 : 1

Varzim

Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Scroll horizontally to view stages →

1/128-finals

Montijo 0

Atletico CP 4

TBD -

Lagoa -

Nogueirense 1

Naval 1893 3

TBD -

FC Felgueiras -

Caldas SC 1

Sintrense 3

TBD -

AFS -

Covilha 0

Mortagua FC 1

TBD -

Leca -

Oliveirense 4

Penalva do Castelo 0

TBD -

Penafiel -

SC Salgueiros 2

Sousense 1

TBD -

Feirense -

Cinfaes 1

SC Espinho 0

TBD -

Leixoes -

O Elvas CAD 9

Sao Roque 0

TBD -

Leiria -

1º Dezembro 0

Real SC 1

TBD -

Academica -

Castro Daire -

TBD -

Portimonense -

Sacavenense 5

SC Angrense 0

TBD -

SC Farense -

Vila Pouca -

TBD -

Brito -

Ac. Fundao 0

Guarda FC 6

TBD -

Chaves -

Alcains 1

Sertanense 0

TBD -

Vitoria Setubal -

Bombarralense -

TBD -

Vizela -

Fazendense 1

Mocarriense 0

TBD -

Figueirense -

GD Alcochetense 8

Fayal 0

C.F. Benfica 3

Viana Alentejo 0

Oliveira Hospital 1

GD Sourense 0

Uniao Montemor 1

Juv. Evora 4

Beira Mar 4

Uniao Lamas 3

Lusitano GC 1

CF Os Belenenses 2

Correlha 1

AD Limianos 4

Ferreiras 0

Aljustrelense 3

Serpa 2

Grandolense 0

Castrense 0

Louletano 1

Rebordosa 2

FC Alpendorada 3

Macao 5

CF Os Gavionenses 0

Anca -

TBD -

Sanjoanense 3

Pacos de Brandao 0

Machico 2

Camacha 3

Florgrade 1

Sao Joao de Ver 0

Pacos Ferreira 0

AD Fafe 1

TBD -

Lajense -

SC Barreiro 2

FC Madalena 5

TBD -

Lusitania FC -

CDC Montalegre 0

Ponte da Barca 1

TBD -

Amarante FC -

ACDR Lamelas -

TBD -

Portalegrense 0

Santo Antonio 3

Olhanense -

TBD -

Messejanense 0

Portel 8

Santarem -

TBD -

Merelinense 2

Atletico Arcos 0

GD Os Nazarenos 0

Vitoria Sernache 3

Varzim 5

Trofense 1

Regua 0

AD Marco 09 1

Maia Lidador 1

Vila Mea 0

Rebordelo 0

GD Braganca 4

Celoricense 1

Pevidem 0

Ermesinde 1

Paredes 3

Maria de Fonte 1

Uniao Nogueirense 0

Imortal -

TBD -

Tondela -

Malveira 2

Mafra 3

TBD -

Tirsense -

Fatima 3

SB Castelo Branco 1

TBD -

Vinhais -

UD Ovarense -

TBD -

Fornos de Algodres 0

Os Marialvas 4

Amora -

TBD -

Uniao Da Serra 5

Uniao de Pombal 0

Estrela Calheta -

TBD -

SC Vianense 8

Minas de Argozelo 0

TBD -

1/64-finals

Atletico CP -

Lagoa -

Naval 1893 0

FC Felgueiras 0

Sintrense -

AFS -

Mortagua FC -

Leca -

Oliveirense -

Penafiel -

SC Salgueiros -

Feirense -

Cinfaes -

Leixoes -

O Elvas CAD -

Leiria -

Real SC 1

Academica 4

Castro Daire 0

Portimonense 0

Sacavenense -

SC Farense -

Vila Pouca -

Brito -

Guarda FC -

Chaves -

Alcains -

Vitoria Setubal -

Bombarralense -

Vizela -

Fazendense -

Figueirense -

GD Alcochetense -

C.F. Benfica -

Oliveira Hospital -

Juv. Evora -

Beira Mar -

CF Os Belenenses -

AD Limianos -

Aljustrelense -

Serpa -

Louletano -

FC Alpendorada -

Macao -

Anca -

Sanjoanense -

Camacha -

Florgrade -

AD Fafe -

Lajense -

FC Madalena -

Lusitania FC -

Ponte da Barca -

Amarante FC -

ACDR Lamelas -

Santo Antonio -

Olhanense -

Portel -

Santarem -

Merelinense -

Vitoria Sernache -

Varzim -

AD Marco 09 -

Maia Lidador -

GD Braganca -

Celoricense -

Paredes -

Maria de Fonte -

Imortal 1

Tondela 5

Mafra -

Tirsense -

Fatima -

Vinhais -

UD Ovarense -

Os Marialvas -

Amora -

Uniao Da Serra -

Estrela Calheta -

SC Vianense -

TBD -

1/32-finals

TBD -

1/16-finals

TBD -

1/8-finals

TBD -

Quarter-finals

TBD -

Semi-finals

TBD -

Final

TBD -

Mafra vs Tirsense

Portugal

Mafra

Tirsense

AI Match Summary

Win Probability Meter

Model Confidence

Goal Probability Engine

Recent Team Form Analysis

H2H

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Attack & Defence Capability Index

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Scoring Trends

Recent Form & Match History

Mafra

Tirsense

Tournament Bracket & Draw

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