Sport Picks

Chile

Copa Chile Estadio Santiago Bueras, Santiago de Chile

Magallanes

1 - 2

Palestino

Our Tip

Match Events

Sepulveda M.

16'

Peraza F.

Assist: Jorquera C.

23'

Quiroz J.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-2. This leg finished 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%

Magallanes

20%

Draws

42%

Palestino

Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Palestino

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence

Form's been kind to Palestino lately — more wins on the board than Magallanes.
Win probability leans Magallanes's way, sitting at 42%.
Palestino arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
Historical meetings favor Palestino, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
History favors Palestino here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 70%

Over 4.5 Goals 32%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%

Magallanes Clean Sheet 13%

Palestino Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Magallanes	Palestino
Matches Played	29	30
Wins	11	13
Draws	7	6
Losses	11	11
Goals Scored	1.52	1.43
Goals Conceded	1.62	1.23
Expected Goals (xG)	1.56	1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 4, 2026 Copa Chile

Magallanes vs Palestino

1:2

Jun 20, 2026 Copa Chile

Palestino vs Magallanes

4:1

Sep 3, 2023 Liga de Primera

Magallanes vs Palestino

2:0

Apr 1, 2023 Liga de Primera

Palestino vs Magallanes

3:2

Oct 15, 2014 Copa Chile

Palestino vs Magallanes

4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Magallanes Compare

Top Goalscorer Peraza F.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.2

Avg xA / game 0.78

Palestino Compare

Top Goalscorer Gomez A.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Tapia Paez G.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.54

Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Magallanes 40 / 100

Palestino 36 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Magallanes Palestino

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Magallanes found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (29 games).

Defensive concern: Palestino conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.

Recent resilience: Magallanes stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Magallanes VS Palestino

1.75 Goals Scored 1.75

1.63 Goals Conceded 1.38

75% Over 1.5 88%

63% Over 2.5 63%

50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Magallanes

(Home)

13 Sept

Magallanes

2 : 0

D. Puerto Montt

09 Sept

Copiapo

1 : 1

Magallanes

05 Sept

Magallanes

0 : 0

San Felipe

29 Aug

S. Wanderers

2 : 1

Magallanes

22 Aug

Magallanes

1 : 0

Deportes Santa Cruz

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Palestino

(Away)

12 Sept

Palestino

2 : 3

U. Catolica

06 Sept

Palestino

2 : 1

U. De Concepcion

28 Aug

Cobresal

2 : 0

Palestino

23 Aug

O Higgins

0 : 1

Palestino

18 Aug

Palestino

5 : 1

Huachipato

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