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Magallanes vs San Luis - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Chile Chile

Liga de Ascenso Estadio Santiago Bueras, Santiago de Chile
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
03:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Magallanes host San Luis in the Liga de Ascenso. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Recent numbers: Magallanes at 1.48 goals for, 1.59 against; San Luis at 1.76 for, 1.21 against. Head-to-head, Magallanes have won 4 to San Luis's 1, with 0 draws. They last met on May 25, 2026, ending 2:1. Model xG sits at 1.25 vs 1.38, favoring San Luis. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Magallanes
20%
Draws
52%
San Luis
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: San Luis

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Magallanes haven't matched San Luis's recent run of results.
  • 52% — that's where the model lands on San Luis taking it.
  • Regular Liga de Ascenso form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Magallanes have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Magallanes Clean Sheet 17%
San Luis Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Magallanes San Luis
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 14
Draws 7 10
Losses 11 5
Goals Scored 1.48 1.76
Goals Conceded 1.59 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 25, 2026 Liga de Ascenso
San Luis vs Magallanes
2:1
Aug 8, 2025 Liga de Ascenso
San Luis vs Magallanes
0:1
Mar 30, 2025 Liga de Ascenso
Magallanes vs San Luis
1:0
Oct 19, 2024 Liga de Ascenso
Magallanes vs San Luis
7:1
Jun 3, 2024 Liga de Ascenso
San Luis vs Magallanes
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Magallanes 28 / 100
San Luis 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Magallanes San Luis

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick San Luis Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Magallanes found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (29 games).

San Luis has conceded goals in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Magallanes stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Magallanes VS San Luis
1.75 Goals Scored 1.5
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Magallanes

(Home)
03 Oct
Magallanes
1 : 0
Curico Unido
13 Sept
Magallanes
2 : 0
D. Puerto Montt
09 Sept
Copiapo
1 : 1
Magallanes
05 Sept
Magallanes
0 : 0
San Felipe
29 Aug
S. Wanderers
2 : 1
Magallanes
Page 1 of 6

San Luis

(Away)
04 Oct
San Luis
2 : 0
U. Espanola
30 Sept
San Felipe
0 : 1
San Luis
15 Sept
San Luis
2 : 1
Antofagasta
05 Sept
San Luis
4 : 2
Cobreloa
30 Aug
Deportes Iquique
0 : 1
San Luis
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cobreloa 26 13 9 4 44:27 48
2 San Luis 26 13 8 5 41:29 47
3 S. Wanderers 26 12 8 6 41:28 44
4 Magallanes 26 12 7 7 42:38 43
5 Antofagasta 26 11 8 7 44:26 41
6 Recoleta 26 11 8 7 38:34 41
7 San Marcos de Arica 26 10 9 7 33:24 39
8 Copiapo 26 10 7 9 40:39 37
9 U. Espanola 26 10 6 10 32:34 36
10 D. Puerto Montt 26 10 4 12 26:34 34
11 Deportes Temuco 26 8 8 10 40:36 32
12 Deportes Iquique 26 7 10 9 35:30 31
13 Curico Unido 26 6 9 11 22:39 24
14 Deportes Santa Cruz 26 4 10 12 27:40 22
15 San Felipe 26 5 7 14 16:44 22
16 Rangers 26 4 6 16 23:42 18
Promotion - Liga de Primera 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Liga de Primera (Relegation - Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga de Primera (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Segunda Division 2027 (Main)