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Mageense vs EC Vera Cruz

Brazil Brazil

Carioca C
Sun, Jul 12, 2026
VS
05:45 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Mageense host EC Vera Cruz in the Carioca C. Both sides' recent runs tell most of the story. Recent numbers: Mageense at 0.75 goals for, 1.63 against; EC Vera Cruz at 1.38 for, 1.88 against. Past meetings favor Mageense slightly — 0-0-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jul 12, 2026, ending 0:0. xG projections (1.31 - 1.50) back EC Vera Cruz to edge this. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Mageense
33%
Draws
27%
EC Vera Cruz
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Mageense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and EC Vera Cruz come out ahead of Mageense on wins alone.
  • Mageense are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Mageense Clean Sheet 16%
EC Vera Cruz Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mageense EC Vera Cruz
Matches Played 20 32
Wins 5 14
Draws 1 5
Losses 14 13
Goals Scored 0.75 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.88
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 12, 2026 Carioca C
Mageense vs EC Vera Cruz
0:0
Jul 6, 2026 Carioca C
EC Vera Cruz vs Mageense
0:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mageense 39 / 100
EC Vera Cruz 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mageense EC Vera Cruz

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MAG Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: EC Vera Cruz conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.

EC Vera Cruz lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Mageense scored in 56% of their last 18 outings.

H2H data points to 0.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Mageense VS EC Vera Cruz
0.75 Goals Scored 1.38
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Final
Mageense-
EC Vera Cruz-
Itaborai Profute-
Barcelona EC-
Uniao Central5
Caac Brazil3
Ceres-
Independente RJ-