Sport Picks
Match Events
14'
14'
Sette N.
50'
50'
Toldo A.
52'
52'
Di Maira F.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Serie D - Group B 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
40%
35%
25%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Magenta
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
40%
/ Low Confidence
- Attack-wise there's a gap: Arconatese at 0.93 per game, Magenta at 0.9.
- Model gives Magenta a 40% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Magenta Clean Sheet 68%
Arconatese Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Magenta | Arconatese |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 28 |
| Wins | 6 | 6 |
| Draws | 10 | 9 |
| Losses | 14 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 0.9 | 0.93 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.4 | 1.46 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.50 | 1.19 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 30, 2025 Serie D - Group B
Magenta vs Arconatese
1:1
Nov 17, 2024 Serie D - Group B
Arconatese vs Magenta
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Magenta Compare
Top Goalscorer Toldo A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75
Arconatese Compare
Top Goalscorer Sette N.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Magenta 68 / 100
Arconatese 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Magenta Arconatese
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Magenta Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Arconatese let in goals in 79% of their last 28 matches.
Historical meetings average 1.50 goals per match.
Magenta went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Magenta scored in 57% of their last 30 games.
Scoring Trends
Magenta VS Arconatese
0.88 Goals Scored 1.25
1.13 Goals Conceded 2.13
75% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Magenta
(Home) 04 May
Varesina
1 : 1 Magenta
27 Apr
Magenta
2 : 0 Sant'Angelo
17 Apr
Chievo
4 : 0 Magenta
13 Apr
Magenta
0 : 0 Sangiuliano City
06 Apr
Breno
1 : 3 Magenta
Page 1 of 6
27 Apr
Magenta
2 : 0 Sant'Angelo
13 Apr
Magenta
0 : 0 Sangiuliano City
30 Mar
Magenta
1 : 1 Arconatese
09 Mar
Magenta
0 : 0 Fanfulla
16 Feb
Magenta
1 : 5 USD Casatese
Page 1 of 3
Arconatese
(Away) 12 Sept
Arconatese
1 : 1 Correggese
06 Sept
USD Casatese
2 : 1 Arconatese
13 Aug
Arconatese
2 : 2 AC Leon
04 May
Breno
4 : 1 Arconatese
27 Apr
Arconatese
2 : 1 Chievo
Page 1 of 6
06 Sept
USD Casatese
2 : 1 Arconatese
04 May
Breno
4 : 1 Arconatese
17 Apr
Sangiuliano City
3 : 0 Arconatese
06 Apr
Pro Palazzolo
3 : 0 Arconatese
30 Mar
Magenta
1 : 1 Arconatese
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ospitaletto | 38 | 21 | 12 | 5 | 66:34 | 75 |
| 2 | Pro Palazzolo | 38 | 20 | 10 | 8 | 69:36 | 70 |
| 3 | Desenzano Calvina | 38 | 19 | 12 | 7 | 51:29 | 69 |
| 4 | USD Casatese | 38 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 58:34 | 68 |
| 5 | Folgore Caratese | 38 | 20 | 8 | 10 | 66:42 | 68 |
| 6 | Varesina | 38 | 17 | 13 | 8 | 61:44 | 64 |
| 7 | Chievo | 38 | 16 | 9 | 13 | 49:37 | 57 |
| 8 | Pro Sesto | 38 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 45:43 | 52 |
| 9 | Club Milano | 38 | 14 | 7 | 17 | 44:50 | 49 |
| 10 | Sant'Angelo | 38 | 11 | 15 | 12 | 41:41 | 48 |
| 11 | Sondrio | 38 | 12 | 11 | 15 | 39:51 | 47 |
| 12 | Breno | 38 | 11 | 14 | 13 | 42:53 | 47 |
| 13 | Castellanzese | 38 | 10 | 16 | 12 | 43:53 | 46 |
| 14 | Vigasio | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 39:41 | 45 |
| 15 | Sangiuliano City | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 39:46 | 45 |
| 16 | Crema | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 48:57 | 44 |
| 17 | Magenta | 38 | 8 | 12 | 18 | 33:53 | 36 |
| 18 | Fanfulla | 38 | 6 | 14 | 18 | 28:57 | 32 |
| 19 | Ciliverghe Mazzano | 38 | 7 | 10 | 21 | 41:70 | 31 |
| 20 | Arconatese | 38 | 7 | 10 | 21 | 33:64 | 31 |
Promotion - Serie D - Group B 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
