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Magenta vs Crema

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group B 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

61' Event
Longo P.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group B 2024/2025 game between Magenta and Crema finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Crema.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Magenta
30%
Draws
23%
Crema
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Magenta

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Crema carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Magenta are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 19%
Over 2.5 Goals 20%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Magenta Clean Sheet 68%
Crema Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Magenta Crema
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 6 8
Draws 10 11
Losses 14 13
Goals Scored 0.9 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.4 1.34
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 0.86
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 25, 2025 Serie D - Group B
Magenta vs Crema
0:1
Sep 29, 2024 Serie D - Group B
Crema vs Magenta
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Magenta Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.52

Crema Compare

Top Goalscorer Longo P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.78
Avg xA / game 0.48

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Magenta 59 / 100
Crema 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Magenta Crema

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Magenta Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Crema's defensive record shows goals conceded in 63% of 32 matches.

H2H data points to 1.50 goals as a typical output.

Magenta has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Crema lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Crema
0 Goals Scored 0.63
0 Goals Conceded 0.88
0% Over 1.5 38%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Magenta

(Home)
04 May
Varesina
1 : 1
Magenta
27 Apr
Magenta
2 : 0
Sant'Angelo
17 Apr
Chievo
4 : 0
Magenta
13 Apr
Magenta
0 : 0
Sangiuliano City
06 Apr
Breno
1 : 3
Magenta
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Crema

(Away)
16 Sept
Pro Patria
2 : 0
Crema
13 Sept
Crema
1 : 3
Pistoiese
06 Sept
Pavia
0 : 0
Crema
08 Aug
Lumezzane
1 : 0
Crema
10 May
Crema
2 : 0
Tropical Coriano
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ospitaletto 38 21 12 5 66:34 75
2 Pro Palazzolo 38 20 10 8 69:36 70
3 Desenzano Calvina 38 19 12 7 51:29 69
4 USD Casatese 38 19 11 8 58:34 68
5 Folgore Caratese 38 20 8 10 66:42 68
6 Varesina 38 17 13 8 61:44 64
7 Chievo 38 16 9 13 49:37 57
8 Pro Sesto 38 13 13 12 45:43 52
9 Club Milano 38 14 7 17 44:50 49
10 Sant'Angelo 38 11 15 12 41:41 48
11 Sondrio 38 12 11 15 39:51 47
12 Breno 38 11 14 13 42:53 47
13 Castellanzese 38 10 16 12 43:53 46
14 Vigasio 38 11 12 15 39:41 45
15 Sangiuliano City 38 11 12 15 39:46 45
16 Crema 38 11 11 16 48:57 44
17 Magenta 38 8 12 18 33:53 36
18 Fanfulla 38 6 14 18 28:57 32
19 Ciliverghe Mazzano 38 7 10 21 41:70 31
20 Arconatese 38 7 10 21 33:64 31
Promotion - Serie D - Group B 2024/2025 (Play Offs)