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Magenta vs Ospitaletto

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group B 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Gualandris M.
19' Event
Gobbi F.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group B 2024/2025 game between Magenta and Ospitaletto finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ospitaletto.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Magenta
35%
Draws
38%
Ospitaletto
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Ospitaletto

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

38% / Low Confidence
  • Ospitaletto carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 38% — that's where the model lands on Ospitaletto taking it.
  • Regular Serie D - Group B 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 25%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Magenta Clean Sheet 20%
Ospitaletto Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Magenta Ospitaletto
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 6 12
Draws 10 11
Losses 14 7
Goals Scored 0.9 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.4 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.18
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 15, 2025 Serie D - Group B
Magenta vs Ospitaletto
0:2
Sep 18, 2024 Serie D - Group B
Ospitaletto vs Magenta
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Magenta Compare

Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.58

Ospitaletto Compare

Top Goalscorer Gualandris M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gobbi F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.07
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Magenta 20 / 100
Ospitaletto 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Magenta Ospitaletto

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ospitaletto Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ospitaletto let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.50 goals per match.

Magenta has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Magenta found the back of the net in 57% of recent matches (30 games).

Scoring Trends

- VS Ospitaletto
0 Goals Scored 1.25
0 Goals Conceded 1.13
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Magenta

(Home)
04 May
Varesina
1 : 1
Magenta
27 Apr
Magenta
2 : 0
Sant'Angelo
17 Apr
Chievo
4 : 0
Magenta
13 Apr
Magenta
0 : 0
Sangiuliano City
06 Apr
Breno
1 : 3
Magenta
Page 1 of 6

Ospitaletto

(Away)
17 Sept
Carpi
2 : 2
Ospitaletto
13 Sept
Ospitaletto
3 : 0
Juventus U23
06 Sept
Ospitaletto
3 : 1
Arzignano
31 Aug
AlbinoLeffe
1 : 1
Ospitaletto
22 Aug
Ospitaletto
2 : 0
Lumezzane
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ospitaletto 38 21 12 5 66:34 75
2 Pro Palazzolo 38 20 10 8 69:36 70
3 Desenzano Calvina 38 19 12 7 51:29 69
4 USD Casatese 38 19 11 8 58:34 68
5 Folgore Caratese 38 20 8 10 66:42 68
6 Varesina 38 17 13 8 61:44 64
7 Chievo 38 16 9 13 49:37 57
8 Pro Sesto 38 13 13 12 45:43 52
9 Club Milano 38 14 7 17 44:50 49
10 Sant'Angelo 38 11 15 12 41:41 48
11 Sondrio 38 12 11 15 39:51 47
12 Breno 38 11 14 13 42:53 47
13 Castellanzese 38 10 16 12 43:53 46
14 Vigasio 38 11 12 15 39:41 45
15 Sangiuliano City 38 11 12 15 39:46 45
16 Crema 38 11 11 16 48:57 44
17 Magenta 38 8 12 18 33:53 36
18 Fanfulla 38 6 14 18 28:57 32
19 Ciliverghe Mazzano 38 7 10 21 41:70 31
20 Arconatese 38 7 10 21 33:64 31
Promotion - Serie D - Group B 2024/2025 (Play Offs)