Sport Picks
Magic United TFA FC vs Moreton City Excelsior
Australia
NPL Queensland Magic F.C. Park, Carrara 
Match Events
27'
27'
Scott J.
38'
38'
Sayers L.
54'
54'
Walters M.
(Penalty)
AI Match Summary
Moreton City Excelsior in this NPL Queensland matchup, with the score ending 0-5 — backing the pre-match view that favored Moreton City Excelsior.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
51%
15%
34%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Magic United TFA FC
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
51%
/ Medium Confidence
- Moreton City Excelsior have won more games recently than Magic United TFA FC.
- Model gives Magic United TFA FC a 51% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 81%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 81%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Magic United TFA FC Clean Sheet 10%
Moreton City Excelsior Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Magic United TFA FC | Moreton City Excelsior |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 35 |
| Wins | 15 | 19 |
| Draws | 1 | 5 |
| Losses | 14 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.9 | 2.37 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.17 | 1.49 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.94 | 2.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 11, 2026 NPL Queensland
Moreton City Excelsior vs Magic United TFA FC
4:3
Apr 7, 2026 NPL Queensland
Magic United TFA FC vs Moreton City Excelsior
0:5
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Magic United TFA FC Compare
Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97
Moreton City Excelsior Compare
Top Goalscorer Scott J.
1 Goals Assists Leader Sayers L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.87
Avg xA / game 1.14
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Magic United TFA FC 83 / 100
Moreton City Excelsior 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Magic United TFA FC Moreton City Excelsior
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Magic United TFA FC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Historical meetings average 6.00 goals per match.
Attacking prowess: Magic United TFA FC scored in 73% of their last 30 outings.
Defensive concern: Moreton City Excelsior conceded in 74% of 35 recent games.
Solid form: Magic United TFA FC remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Magic United TFA FC VS Moreton City Excelsior
2.25 Goals Scored 1.88
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 75%
100% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Magic United TFA FC
(Home) 14 Aug
Wynnum Wolves
0 : 3 Magic United TFA FC
08 Aug
Magic United TFA FC
2 : 1 Rochedale
02 Aug
Magic United TFA FC
0 : 3 Olympic FC
18 Jul
Eastern Suburbs
1 : 4 Magic United TFA FC
11 Jul
Moreton City Excelsior
4 : 3 Magic United TFA FC
Page 1 of 6
08 Aug
Magic United TFA FC
2 : 1 Rochedale
02 Aug
Magic United TFA FC
0 : 3 Olympic FC
27 Jun
Magic United TFA FC
3 : 5 Brisbane City
06 Jun
Magic United TFA FC
2 : 1 Brisbane Roar U23
31 May
Magic United TFA FC
3 : 5 Queensland Lions
Page 1 of 4
Moreton City Excelsior
(Away) 05 Sept
Peninsula
3 : 2 Moreton City Excelsior
29 Aug
Moreton City Excelsior
2 : 0 Gold Coast Knights SC
14 Aug
Moreton City Excelsior
0 : 2 Queensland Lions
08 Aug
Olympic FC
1 : 2 Moreton City Excelsior
02 Aug
Brisbane Roar U23
2 : 0 Moreton City Excelsior
Page 1 of 7
05 Sept
Peninsula
3 : 2 Moreton City Excelsior
08 Aug
Olympic FC
1 : 2 Moreton City Excelsior
02 Aug
Brisbane Roar U23
2 : 0 Moreton City Excelsior
04 Jul
Gold Coast Knights SC
2 : 1 Moreton City Excelsior
28 Jun
Gold Coast Utd
0 : 1 Moreton City Excelsior
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Queensland Lions | 22 | 17 | 2 | 3 | 57:22 | 53 |
| 2 | Peninsula | 22 | 13 | 6 | 3 | 49:27 | 45 |
| 3 | Moreton City Excelsior | 22 | 12 | 3 | 7 | 51:35 | 39 |
| 4 | Gold Coast Knights SC | 22 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 46:32 | 38 |
| 5 | Brisbane City | 22 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 47:48 | 34 |
| 6 | Wynnum Wolves | 22 | 9 | 6 | 7 | 36:40 | 33 |
| 7 | Eastern Suburbs | 22 | 9 | 2 | 11 | 34:35 | 29 |
| 8 | Olympic FC | 22 | 8 | 2 | 12 | 39:43 | 26 |
| 9 | Magic United TFA FC | 22 | 7 | 1 | 14 | 33:59 | 22 |
| 10 | Rochedale | 22 | 6 | 3 | 13 | 34:52 | 21 |
| 11 | Gold Coast Utd | 22 | 6 | 2 | 14 | 26:39 | 20 |
| 12 | Brisbane Roar U23 | 22 | 5 | 1 | 16 | 32:52 | 16 |
Promotion - NPL Queensland (Play Offs)
Relegation - Queensland Premier League (Main)
