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Magni vs Fjardabyggd

Iceland Iceland

Division 2 2021
Our Tip

Match Events

36' Event
Vnukov D.
40' Event
Vose D.
58' Event
Sofusson H.

AI Match Summary

The Division 2 2021 game between Magni and Fjardabyggd finished 4-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Magni.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Magni
15%
Draws
36%
Fjardabyggd
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Magni

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Magni come out ahead of Fjardabyggd on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Magni's way, sitting at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Magni have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Magni Clean Sheet 12%
Fjardabyggd Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Magni Fjardabyggd
Matches Played 32 28
Wins 11 3
Draws 4 5
Losses 17 20
Goals Scored 1.72 0.86
Goals Conceded 2.5 2.86
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 28, 2021 Division 2
Magni vs Fjardabyggd
4:2
May 21, 2021 Division 2
Fjardabyggd vs Magni
0:4
Sep 2, 2017 Division 2
Magni vs Fjardabyggd
3:0
Jun 23, 2017 Division 2
Fjardabyggd vs Magni
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Magni Compare

Top Goalscorer Vose D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Heidarsson V. M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.61

Fjardabyggd Compare

Top Goalscorer Vnukov D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Sofusson H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Magni 74 / 100
Fjardabyggd 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Magni Fjardabyggd

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Magni Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 3:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fjardabyggd's defensive record shows goals conceded in 93% of 28 matches.

Games between these two average 3.75 goals.

Magni scored in 78% of their last 32 games.

Fjardabyggd lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Magni VS -
1.25 Goals Scored 0
2.5 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Magni

(Home)
12 Sept
Throttur Vogar
2 : 1
Magni
05 Sept
Magni
0 : 2
Kari
29 Aug
Selfoss
6 : 0
Magni
23 Aug
Magni
3 : 1
Olafsvik
19 Aug
Dalvik/Reynir
1 : 1
Magni
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Fjardabyggd

(Away)
18 Sept
Fjardabyggd
0 : 3
Leiknir Faskruds
11 Sept
Reynir
5 : 3
Fjardabyggd
04 Sept
Fjardabyggd
0 : 4
Fjallabyggd
28 Aug
Haukar
6 : 1
Fjardabyggd
22 Aug
Fjardabyggd
3 : 1
IR Reykjavik
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Throttur Vogar 22 12 6 4 43:22 42
2 KV Reykjavik 22 12 5 5 40:29 41
3 Volsungur 22 12 4 6 44:35 40
4 Magni 22 10 7 5 45:36 37
5 Fjallabyggd 22 10 5 7 42:33 35
6 Njardvik 22 8 8 6 45:29 32
7 Reynir 22 9 5 8 49:45 32
8 IR Reykjavik 22 8 7 7 40:36 31
9 Haukar 22 8 5 9 46:41 29
10 Leiknir Faskruds 22 7 3 12 31:45 24
11 Fjardabyggd 22 2 5 15 17:62 11
12 Kari 22 1 6 15 27:56 9
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