Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Magra vs USM Alger

Algeria Algeria

Algeria Cup Boucheligue Brothers Stadium, Magra
Thu, Dec 4, 2025
0 - 1
01:00 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

1' Event
(Penalty)
1' Event
(Penalty)
2' Event
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-1. This leg finished 0-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
Magra
30%
Draws
52%
USM Alger
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: USM Alger

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • USM Alger have won more games recently than Magra.
  • 52% — that's where the model lands on USM Alger taking it.
  • USM Alger arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor USM Alger, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors USM Alger here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 61.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
Magra Clean Sheet 18%
USM Alger Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Magra USM Alger
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 10 11
Draws 8 12
Losses 11 7
Goals Scored 0.86 1.1
Goals Conceded 1 0.83
Expected Goals (xG) 0.70 1.32
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 4, 2025 Algeria Cup
Magra vs USM Alger
0:1
Feb 18, 2025 Ligue 1
USM Alger vs Magra
2:0
Feb 10, 2025 Algeria Cup
USM Alger vs Magra
1:0
Sep 28, 2024 Ligue 1
Magra vs USM Alger
0:0
Jun 14, 2024 Ligue 1
Magra vs USM Alger
2:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Magra 10 / 100
USM Alger 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Magra USM Alger

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick USM Alger Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Magra's goal record stands at 62% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.

USM Alger has conceded goals in 57% of their last 30 outings.

Solid form: Magra remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Magra VS USM Alger
0.4 Goals Scored 1.25
1.4 Goals Conceded 1
60% Over 1.5 63%
40% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Magra

(Home)
26 Sept
Magra
1 : 0
US Chaouia
18 Sept
Annaba
3 : 0
Magra
20 Aug
ES Setif
2 : 1
Magra
09 May
Magra
0 : 2
Bordj Menail
02 May
Beni Oulbane
4 : 0
Magra
Page 1 of 6

USM Alger

(Away)
19 Sept
Olympique Akbou
2 : 3
USM Alger
10 Sept
USM Alger
2 : 0
JS El Biar
04 Sept
Khenchela
0 : 0
USM Alger
15 Aug
Club Africain
0 : 0
USM Alger
06 Jun
Oran
2 : 2
USM Alger
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
CA Batna 2
Annaba 1
Kolea 1
Bordj Menail 0
Paradou 3
Adrar 0
USF Constantine 4
Metlili Chaamba 2
Frenda 2
Mila 1
ASO Chlef 1
Sidi Abdelmoumen 0
MB Barika 1
Marsa El Hadjadj 0
Saida 3
Telaghema 0
MO Bejaia 1
Harrach 2
Kabylie 7
MB Hassi Messaoud 0
Magra 0
USM Alger 1
MO Constantine 3
Kais 1
Sidi Ali Boussidi 0
Arba 1
Oran 1
Mostaganem 2
Bethioua 0
Saoura 1
Khroub 2
Olympique Akbou 0
Constantine 4
JS El Biar 1
CR Temouchent 1
Hamaissa 0
Bechar Djedid 4
GC Mascara 3
ES Setif 1
Beni Thamou 0
Tessala 0
Bejaia 1
Widad Adabi de Boufarik 3
Naama 0
Beni Oulbane 0
Amal Bou Saada 1
Hussein Dey 3
Sedrata 0
Wifaq Ain Benian 2
SC Mecheria 1
CR Belouizdad 2
Oued Fodda 1
Ain Kercha 1
Illizi 0
Beni Thour 1
ASM Oran 2
MC Alger 1
El Bayadh 0
Khenchela 1
Rouisset 0
ES Ben Aknoun 2
RA Ain Defla 0
ESF Bir El Ater 2
Kadiria 0
1/16-finals
CA Batna 5
Kolea 1
Paradou 2
USF Constantine 0
Frenda 0
ASO Chlef 1
MB Barika 1
Saida 2
Harrach 1
Kabylie 0
USM Alger 3
MO Constantine 0
Arba 0
Mostaganem 1
Saoura 2
Khroub 0
Constantine 3
CR Temouchent 0
Bechar Djedid 0
ES Setif 4
Bejaia 4
Widad Adabi de Boufarik 1
Amal Bou Saada 0
Hussein Dey 1
Wifaq Ain Benian 1
CR Belouizdad 5
Ain Kercha 0
ASM Oran 2
MC Alger 2
Khenchela 1
ES Ben Aknoun 2
ESF Bir El Ater 0
1/8-finals
CA Batna 4
Paradou 3
ASO Chlef 0
Saida 1
Harrach 2
USM Alger 3
Mostaganem 0
Saoura 2
Constantine 2
ES Setif 1
Bejaia 3
Hussein Dey 0
CR Belouizdad 3
ASM Oran 0
MC Alger 1
ES Ben Aknoun 0
Quarter-finals
CA Batna 1
Saida 0
USM Alger 1
Saoura 0
Constantine 1
Bejaia 0
CR Belouizdad 3
MC Alger 2
Semi-finals
CA Batna 1
USM Alger 3
Constantine 2
CR Belouizdad 3
Final
USM Alger 2
CR Belouizdad 1