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Mahar United vs Dagon - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Myanmar Myanmar

National League
Sun, Oct 18, 2026
VS
09:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Mahar United host Dagon in the National League. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Mahar United have averaged 1.91 scored and 1.89 conceded recently, against Dagon's 2.3 scored and 1.21 conceded. Head-to-head, Mahar United have won 1 to Dagon's 2, with 2 draws. They last met on Mar 3, 2026, ending 1:0. Model xG sits at 1.13 vs 1.63, favoring Dagon. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Mahar United
15%
Draws
53%
Dagon
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Dagon

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Dagon carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Dagon a 53% chance of winning this.
  • Regular National League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Mahar United Clean Sheet 14%
Dagon Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mahar United Dagon
Matches Played 35 33
Wins 14 20
Draws 9 7
Losses 12 6
Goals Scored 1.91 2.3
Goals Conceded 1.89 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 3, 2026 National League
Dagon vs Mahar United
1:0
Oct 27, 2025 National League
Dagon vs Mahar United
2:2
Feb 10, 2025 National League
Dagon vs Mahar United
0:1
Aug 12, 2024 National League
Mahar United vs Dagon
0:3
Aug 3, 2023 National League
Mahar United vs Dagon
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mahar United 27 / 100
Dagon 39 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mahar United Dagon

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Dagon Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mahar United scored in 71% of their last 35 games.

Dagon let in goals in 67% of their last 33 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.

Mahar United went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Mahar United VS Dagon
1 Goals Scored 1.63
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Mahar United

(Home)
07 Sept
Ispe
2 : 4
Mahar United
30 Aug
Yangon United
2 : 0
Mahar United
17 Mar
Mahar United
2 : 1
Ayeyawady
12 Mar
Shan United
2 : 1
Mahar United
03 Mar
Dagon
1 : 0
Mahar United
Page 1 of 7

Dagon

(Away)
06 Sept
Ayeyawady
0 : 5
Dagon
29 Aug
Dagon
2 : 0
Hantharwady United
18 Mar
Yangon United
4 : 0
Dagon
09 Mar
Thitsar Arman
2 : 2
Dagon
03 Mar
Dagon
1 : 0
Mahar United
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dagon 2 2 0 0 7:0 6
2 Yangon United 2 2 0 0 7:1 6
3 Shan United 2 1 1 0 6:2 4
4 Yadanarbon 2 1 1 0 2:1 4
5 Mahar United 2 1 0 1 4:4 3
6 Ayeyawady 2 1 0 1 2:6 3
7 Thitsar Arman 2 0 2 0 4:4 2
8 Yangon Royals 2 0 2 0 2:2 2
9 Hantharwady United 2 0 1 1 2:4 1
10 Myawady 2 0 1 1 2:6 1
11 Ispe 2 0 0 2 3:6 0
12 Chinland 2 0 0 2 2:7 0
Promotion - AFC Challenge League 2027/2028 (Main)