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Mahar United vs Yadanarbon

Myanmar Myanmar

National League 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

29' Event
Gilles P.
62' Event
Thet Naing
90' Event
Moe P.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Mahar United in this National League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Mahar United.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Mahar United
15%
Draws
46%
Yadanarbon
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Yadanarbon

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Yadanarbon have won more games recently than Mahar United.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Mahar United Clean Sheet 19%
Yadanarbon Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mahar United Yadanarbon
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 12
Draws 9 6
Losses 12 12
Goals Scored 1.7 1.83
Goals Conceded 2.1 1.6
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 13, 2026 National League
Mahar United vs Yadanarbon
2:1
Aug 22, 2025 National League
Yadanarbon vs Mahar United
3:2
Feb 3, 2025 National League
Mahar United vs Yadanarbon
2:0
Jul 12, 2024 National League
Yadanarbon vs Mahar United
3:2
Oct 20, 2023 National League
Yadanarbon vs Mahar United
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mahar United Compare

Top Goalscorer Gilles P.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Thet Naing
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Yadanarbon Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mahar United 32 / 100
Yadanarbon 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mahar United Yadanarbon

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Yadanarbon Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Yadanarbon let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Mahar United found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (30 games).

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Mahar United has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Mahar United VS Yadanarbon
1.5 Goals Scored 0.88
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Mahar United

(Home)
07 Sept
Ispe
2 : 4
Mahar United
30 Aug
Yangon United
2 : 0
Mahar United
17 Mar
Mahar United
2 : 1
Ayeyawady
12 Mar
Shan United
2 : 1
Mahar United
03 Mar
Dagon
1 : 0
Mahar United
Page 1 of 6

Yadanarbon

(Away)
04 Sept
Yangon Royals
0 : 0
Yadanarbon
28 Aug
Chinland
1 : 2
Yadanarbon
16 Mar
Dagon Port
1 : 0
Yadanarbon
10 Mar
Yadanarbon
2 : 3
Yangon United
05 Mar
Yadanarbon
2 : 1
Ayeyawady
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Shan United 22 18 4 0 66:10 58
2 Yangon United 22 18 3 1 70:7 57
3 Dagon 22 11 6 5 39:30 39
4 Ispe 22 9 4 9 35:46 31
5 Hantharwady United 22 7 7 8 32:34 28
6 Mahar United 22 7 7 8 39:44 28
7 Yadanarbon 22 7 5 10 38:38 26
8 Ayeyawady 22 7 5 10 25:26 26
9 Thitsar Arman 22 5 9 8 36:38 24
10 Dagon Port 22 5 7 10 44:62 22
11 Rakhine United 22 5 4 13 28:54 19
12 Yarmanya United 22 1 3 18 17:80 6
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