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Maharlika Manila vs Don Bosco Garelli

Philippines Philippines

PFL
Our Tip

Match Events

24' Event
Yamaguchi Y.
32' Event
Okereke S.
38' Event
Giganto E.

AI Match Summary

The PFL game between Maharlika Manila and Don Bosco Garelli finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Maharlika Manila.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Maharlika Manila
6%
Draws
90%
Don Bosco Garelli
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Don Bosco Garelli

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Maharlika Manila come out ahead of Don Bosco Garelli on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Don Bosco Garelli's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular PFL form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 85%).
  • Maharlika Manila have won 4 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 85%
Over 3.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 39%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Maharlika Manila Clean Sheet 10%
Don Bosco Garelli Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Maharlika Manila Don Bosco Garelli
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 16 10
Draws 3 1
Losses 12 19
Goals Scored 2.75 3.5
Goals Conceded 2 2.5
Expected Goals (xG) 2.75 3.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 2.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 24, 2026 PFL
Maharlika Manila vs Don Bosco Garelli
3:2
Mar 14, 2026 PFL
Maharlika Manila vs Don Bosco Garelli
3:1
Sep 27, 2025 PFL
Don Bosco Garelli vs Maharlika Manila
0:1
May 18, 2024 PFL
Maharlika Manila vs Don Bosco Garelli
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Maharlika Manila Compare

Top Goalscorer Giganto E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Miyagi K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.12
Avg xA / game 1.38

Don Bosco Garelli Compare

Top Goalscorer Yamaguchi Y.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Okereke S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 3.18
Avg xA / game 1.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Maharlika Manila 10 / 100
Don Bosco Garelli 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Maharlika Manila Don Bosco Garelli

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick DON Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Don Bosco Garelli conceded in 87% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.50 goals per match.

Maharlika Manila's goal record stands at 74% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Solid form: Maharlika Manila remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Maharlika Manila VS Don Bosco Garelli
2.75 Goals Scored 3.5
2 Goals Conceded 2.5
100% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 100%
75% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

Maharlika Manila

(Home)
24 May
Maharlika Manila
3 : 2
Don Bosco Garelli
20 May
Tuloy
1 : 1
Maharlika Manila
06 May
Maharlika Manila
5 : 2
Philippine Army
02 May
Mendiola FC 1991
2 : 3
Maharlika Manila
19 Apr
Maharlika Manila
0 : 6
Manila Digger
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Don Bosco Garelli

(Away)
24 May
Maharlika Manila
3 : 2
Don Bosco Garelli
20 May
Don Bosco Garelli
8 : 1
Philippine Army
10 May
Tuloy
2 : 4
Don Bosco Garelli
06 May
Don Bosco Garelli
3 : 3
Mendiola FC 1991
25 Apr
Don Bosco Garelli
9 : 1
Philippine Army
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