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Maharlika Manila vs Stallion - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Philippines Philippines

PFL 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Menzi M.
19' Event
Kedman M.
57' Event
Oppong Romeo D.

AI Match Summary

The PFL 2025/2026 game between Maharlika Manila and Stallion finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Maharlika Manila.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

56%
Maharlika Manila
20%
Draws
24%
Stallion
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Maharlika Manila

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

56% / Medium Confidence
  • Maharlika Manila carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Maharlika Manila's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular PFL 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Maharlika Manila Clean Sheet 16%
Stallion Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Maharlika Manila Stallion
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 16 10
Draws 4 10
Losses 10 9
Goals Scored 2.27 2.34
Goals Conceded 1.57 1.31
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 27, 2026 PFL
Stallion vs Maharlika Manila
0:2
Feb 15, 2026 PFL
Stallion vs Maharlika Manila
1:1
Nov 29, 2025 PFL
Maharlika Manila vs Stallion
3:1
Feb 8, 2025 PFL
Stallion vs Maharlika Manila
0:0
Sep 28, 2024 PFL
Maharlika Manila vs Stallion
1:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Maharlika Manila Compare

Top Goalscorer Menzi M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Oppong Romeo D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.58
Avg xA / game 1.03

Stallion Compare

Top Goalscorer Kedman M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Maharlika Manila 84 / 100
Stallion 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Maharlika Manila Stallion

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Maharlika Manila Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Maharlika Manila's goal record stands at 80% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: Stallion conceded in 76% of 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Maharlika Manila stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Maharlika Manila VS Stallion
2.25 Goals Scored 1.5
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Maharlika Manila

(Home)
04 Oct
Maharlika Manila
5 : 0
Philippine Army
27 Sept
Stallion
0 : 2
Maharlika Manila
20 Sept
Azkals
2 : 0
Maharlika Manila
12 Sept
Maharlika Manila
1 : 0
Cebu FC
06 Sept
Maharlika Manila
4 : 2
Tuloy
Page 1 of 6

Stallion

(Away)
27 Sept
Stallion
0 : 2
Maharlika Manila
20 Sept
Stallion
0 : 3
Manila Digger
12 Sept
Stallion
4 : 0
Azkals
30 May
Stallion
2 : 2
Davao Aguilas
27 May
Stallion
1 : 1
Cebu FC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Manila Digger 20 17 3 0 103:13 54
2 Taguig 20 17 1 2 84:9 52
3 Cebu FC 20 13 3 4 70:21 42
4 Kaya FC 20 13 2 5 68:13 41
5 Stallion 20 9 6 5 58:22 33
6 Davao Aguilas 20 10 2 8 45:28 32
7 Maharlika Manila 20 9 2 9 43:35 29
8 Don Bosco Garelli 20 5 0 15 32:74 15
9 Tuloy 20 3 2 15 27:119 11
10 Mendiola FC 1991 20 2 1 17 13:99 7
11 Philippine Army 20 0 2 18 14:124 2
Promotion - PFL 2025/2026 (Championship Group)
Relegation - PFL 2025/2026 (Placement Group)