Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Maharlika Manila vs Tuloy

Philippines Philippines

PFL
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Aristorenas J.
65' Event
Nagamatsu R.
68' Event
Nagamatsu R.

AI Match Summary

The PFL game between Maharlika Manila and Tuloy finished 4-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Maharlika Manila.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Maharlika Manila
15%
Draws
28%
Tuloy
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Maharlika Manila

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Maharlika Manila carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 57% — that's where the model lands on Maharlika Manila taking it.
  • Regular PFL form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).
  • Maharlika Manila have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 80%
Over 3.5 Goals 75%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Maharlika Manila Clean Sheet 10%
Tuloy Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Maharlika Manila Tuloy
Matches Played 35 29
Wins 18 6
Draws 5 3
Losses 12 20
Goals Scored 2.23 1.62
Goals Conceded 1.6 4.97
Expected Goals (xG) 3.13 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2026 PFL
Maharlika Manila vs Tuloy
4:2
May 20, 2026 PFL
Tuloy vs Maharlika Manila
1:1
Apr 12, 2026 PFL
Maharlika Manila vs Tuloy
8:0
Sep 13, 2025 PFL
Tuloy vs Maharlika Manila
2:3
Apr 6, 2024 PFL
Tuloy vs Maharlika Manila
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Maharlika Manila Compare

Top Goalscorer Nagamatsu R.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Aristorenas J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.41
Avg xA / game 1.56

Tuloy Compare

Top Goalscorer Jalique J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Binalong L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Maharlika Manila 74 / 100
Tuloy 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Maharlika Manila Tuloy

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Maharlika Manila Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Maharlika Manila scored in 80% of their last 35 outings.

Tuloy let in goals in 93% of their last 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 5.20 goals per match.

Maharlika Manila has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Maharlika Manila VS Tuloy
3.13 Goals Scored 1.88
2 Goals Conceded 3.13
100% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 88%
75% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Maharlika Manila

(Home)
04 Oct
Maharlika Manila
5 : 0
Philippine Army
27 Sept
Stallion
0 : 2
Maharlika Manila
20 Sept
Azkals
2 : 0
Maharlika Manila
12 Sept
Maharlika Manila
1 : 0
Cebu FC
06 Sept
Maharlika Manila
4 : 2
Tuloy
Page 1 of 7

Tuloy

(Away)
04 Oct
Davao Aguilas
2 : 1
Tuloy
20 Sept
Philippine Army
3 : 4
Tuloy
12 Sept
Tuloy
0 : 3
Kaya FC
06 Sept
Maharlika Manila
4 : 2
Tuloy
24 May
Mendiola FC 1991
1 : 4
Tuloy
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Maharlika Manila 6 4 1 1 13:5 13
2 Kaya FC 3 3 0 0 11:1 9
3 Manila Digger 3 3 0 0 7:0 9
4 Davao Aguilas 2 2 0 0 6:1 6
5 Stallion 3 1 0 2 4:5 3
6 Tuloy 4 1 0 3 7:12 3
7 Azkals 4 1 0 3 3:9 3
8 Mendiola FC 1991 2 0 1 1 1:5 1
9 Cebu FC 2 0 0 2 0:3 0
10 Philippine Army 3 0 0 3 3:14 0
Promotion - PFL (Championship Group)
Relegation - PFL (Placement Group)