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Maharlika Manila vs Tuloy

Philippines Philippines

PFL 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Ibrahim F.
15' Event
Ouano M.
35' Event
Ibrahim F.

AI Match Summary

The PFL 2025/2026 game between Maharlika Manila and Tuloy finished 8-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Maharlika Manila.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Maharlika Manila
20%
Draws
33%
Tuloy
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Maharlika Manila

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Maharlika Manila carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Maharlika Manila are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Regular PFL 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Maharlika Manila have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Maharlika Manila Clean Sheet 11%
Tuloy Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Maharlika Manila Tuloy
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 15 7
Draws 4 3
Losses 10 19
Goals Scored 2.17 1.79
Goals Conceded 1.62 4.97
Expected Goals (xG) 3.00 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2026 PFL
Maharlika Manila vs Tuloy
4:2
May 20, 2026 PFL
Tuloy vs Maharlika Manila
1:1
Apr 12, 2026 PFL
Maharlika Manila vs Tuloy
8:0
Sep 13, 2025 PFL
Tuloy vs Maharlika Manila
2:3
Apr 6, 2024 PFL
Tuloy vs Maharlika Manila
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Maharlika Manila Compare

Top Goalscorer Ibrahim F.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Ouano M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.31
Avg xA / game 1.5

Tuloy Compare

Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Maharlika Manila 56 / 100
Tuloy 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Maharlika Manila Tuloy

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Maharlika Manila Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 3:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tuloy's defensive record shows goals conceded in 93% of 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 5.20 goals when they meet.

Maharlika Manila scored in 79% of their last 29 games.

Recent resilience: Maharlika Manila stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Maharlika Manila VS Tuloy
2.88 Goals Scored 1.88
1.75 Goals Conceded 3.13
100% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Maharlika Manila

(Home)
27 Sept
Stallion
0 : 2
Maharlika Manila
20 Sept
Azkals
2 : 0
Maharlika Manila
12 Sept
Maharlika Manila
1 : 0
Cebu FC
06 Sept
Maharlika Manila
4 : 2
Tuloy
31 Aug
Mendiola FC 1991
1 : 1
Maharlika Manila
Page 1 of 6

Tuloy

(Away)
20 Sept
Philippine Army
3 : 4
Tuloy
12 Sept
Tuloy
0 : 3
Kaya FC
06 Sept
Maharlika Manila
4 : 2
Tuloy
24 May
Mendiola FC 1991
1 : 4
Tuloy
20 May
Tuloy
1 : 1
Maharlika Manila
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Manila Digger 20 17 3 0 103:13 54
2 Taguig 20 17 1 2 84:9 52
3 Cebu FC 20 13 3 4 70:21 42
4 Kaya FC 20 13 2 5 68:13 41
5 Stallion 20 9 6 5 58:22 33
6 Davao Aguilas 20 10 2 8 45:28 32
7 Maharlika Manila 20 9 2 9 43:35 29
8 Don Bosco Garelli 20 5 0 15 32:74 15
9 Tuloy 20 3 2 15 27:119 11
10 Mendiola FC 1991 20 2 1 17 13:99 7
11 Philippine Army 20 0 2 18 14:124 2
Promotion - PFL 2025/2026 (Championship Group)
Relegation - PFL 2025/2026 (Placement Group)