Sport Picks
Mahasarakham vs Rayong FC
Thailand
League Cup Maha Sarakham Provincial Stadium, Maha Sarakham 
Match Events
35'
35'
Aung Lwin Moe
72'
72'
Junior
(Penalty)
73'
73'
Joao Afonso
AI Match Summary
Mahasarakham in this League Cup tie, finishing 2-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
36%
44%
20%
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
71%
/ Medium Confidence
- Mahasarakham have won more games recently than Rayong FC.
- Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
- Mahasarakham have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Rayong FC, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36.400000000000006%
Mahasarakham Clean Sheet 19%
Rayong FC Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Mahasarakham | Rayong FC |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 12 | 10 |
| Draws | 6 | 9 |
| Losses | 12 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 0.63 | 1.38 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.13 | 1.88 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.63 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.13 | 1.88 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Dec 28, 2025 League Cup
Mahasarakham vs Rayong FC
2:1
Oct 29, 2025 Thai FA Cup
Mahasarakham vs Rayong FC
1:4
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Mahasarakham Compare
Top Goalscorer Aung Lwin Moe
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32
Rayong FC Compare
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Mahasarakham 36 / 100
Rayong FC 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Mahasarakham Rayong FC
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick RAY Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Rayong FC let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.
H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.
Mahasarakham's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
Mahasarakham went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Mahasarakham VS Rayong FC
0.63 Goals Scored 1.38
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.88
63% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Mahasarakham
(Home) 25 Apr
Mahasarakham
2 : 2 Khonkaen United
18 Apr
Rasisalai United
3 : 0 Mahasarakham
04 Apr
Mahasarakham
0 : 2 Nakhon Pathom
22 Mar
Trat FC
2 : 0 Mahasarakham
18 Mar
Pathum United
3 : 0 Mahasarakham
Page 1 of 6
25 Apr
Mahasarakham
2 : 2 Khonkaen United
04 Apr
Mahasarakham
0 : 2 Nakhon Pathom
04 Mar
Mahasarakham
1 : 0 Pattaya United
22 Feb
Mahasarakham
3 : 0 Songkhla
15 Feb
Mahasarakham
0 : 1 Sisaket United
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Rayong FC
(Away) 10 May
Rayong FC
1 : 1 Bangkok Utd
03 May
Ratchaburi
6 : 1 Rayong FC
29 Apr
Rayong FC
3 : 0 Buriram United F.C.
26 Apr
Rayong FC
1 : 1 Lamphun Warrior
18 Apr
Uthai Thani
4 : 1 Rayong FC
Page 1 of 6
03 May
Ratchaburi
6 : 1 Rayong FC
18 Apr
Uthai Thani
4 : 1 Rayong FC
05 Apr
Chonburi
4 : 1 Rayong FC
07 Mar
Sukhothai
2 : 1 Rayong FC
25 Feb
Nakhon Ratchasima FC
2 : 1 Rayong FC
Page 1 of 4
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/16-finals
Pattani2
Ratchaburi0
Nakhon Pathom0
Uthai Thani2
Thonburi United0
Buriram United F.C.4
Samut Sakhon City0
Prachuap2
Bangkok FC0
Muang Thong Utd4
Uttaradit FC0
Pathum United4
Mahasarakham2
Rayong FC1
Lopburi City1
Nakhon Ratchasima FC2
Satun FC0
Lamphun Warrior2
Nong Bua Pitchaya1
Chonburi5
Thap Luang United1
Chiangrai Utd0
Customs Utd2
Sukhothai3
Chainat Hornbill0
Port MTI FC5
Bankhai United0
Ayutthaya United1
Khonkaen United1
Kanchanaburi0
Pattaya United0
Bangkok Utd3
1/8-finals
Pattani2
Uthai Thani1
Buriram United F.C.3
Prachuap2
Muang Thong Utd0
Pathum United2
Mahasarakham2
Nakhon Ratchasima FC0
Lamphun Warrior0
Chonburi3
Thap Luang United1
Sukhothai0
Port MTI FC2
Ayutthaya United1
Khonkaen United3
Bangkok Utd2
Quarter-finals
Pattani0
Buriram United F.C.3
Pathum United3
Mahasarakham0
Chonburi1
Thap Luang United0
Port MTI FC7
Khonkaen United0
Semi-finals
Buriram United F.C.0
Pathum United1
Chonburi3
Port MTI FC4
Final
Pathum United0
Port MTI FC1