Sport Picks
Mahasarakham vs Rayong FC
Thailand
Thai FA Cup Maha Sarakham Provincial Stadium 
Match Events
18'
18'
Ratree S.
45'
45'
Perm P.
54'
54'
Junior S.
(Penalty)
AI Match Summary
The Thai FA Cup game between Mahasarakham and Rayong FC finished 1-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Rayong FC.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
36%
44%
20%
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
71%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Mahasarakham come out ahead of Rayong FC on wins alone.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
- Knockout football tends to sharpen focus — no second leg to fall back on.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36.8%
Mahasarakham Clean Sheet 19%
Rayong FC Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Mahasarakham | Rayong FC |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 12 | 10 |
| Draws | 5 | 9 |
| Losses | 12 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 0.63 | 1.38 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.13 | 1.88 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.63 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.13 | 1.88 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Dec 28, 2025 League Cup
Mahasarakham vs Rayong FC
2:1
Oct 29, 2025 Thai FA Cup
Mahasarakham vs Rayong FC
1:4
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Mahasarakham Compare
Top Goalscorer Perm P.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32
Rayong FC Compare
Top Goalscorer Ratree S.
2 Goals Assists Leader Sontisawat S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77
Sokapicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Mahasarakham 36 / 100
Rayong FC 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Mahasarakham Rayong FC
Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick RAY Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
Sokapicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Rayong FC let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.
Games between these two average 4.00 goals.
Mahasarakham scored in 69% of their last 29 games.
Mahasarakham went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Mahasarakham VS Rayong FC
0.63 Goals Scored 1.38
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.88
63% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 25%
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
Phichit United1
Udon Thani City0
Chiangrai Utd19
Sing Pathumthani0
Prime Bangkok1
Khonkaen FC0
Royal Thai Fleet FC1
FC ACDC0
Uthai Thani3
Kasem Bundit0
Chiangmai United2
Prachuap6
Pathum United4
Kamphaeng Phet0
Surin Sugar2
Ubonkids City9
Muang Thong Utd10
Romklao United0
Surat Thani City1
Lamphun Warrior4
Sukhothai3
Yala1
Thonburi Forest0
Nong Bua Pitchaya7
Burapha United0
Port MTI FC4
Bangkok Utd7
Samut Sakhon City0
Kanchanaburi4
Nara United0
Chonburi1
Police Tero2
Customs Utd3
Nonthaburi United0
Buriram United F.C.12
Warin Chamrap0
See Khwae City0
Pattani1
Cha Choeng Sao0
Nakhon Ratchasima FC1
Samui United2
Sa-Kaeo Ban Kaeng0
Nong Khai FC0
Khonkaen United5
Bankhai United5
Nakhon Nayok0
Kasetsart1
Nakhon Pathom2
Ayutthaya United1
Udon United0
Roi Et 20182
Samut Songkhram City0
Siwilai0
Uttaradit FC2
Pattaya City1
Chiangmai FC0
Marines FC0
Sisaket United3
Mahasarakham1
Rayong FC4
Muangnont0
Phitsanulok1
Lopburi City2
Ratchaburi3
1/16-finals
Phichit United2
Chiangrai Utd3
Prime Bangkok3
Royal Thai Fleet FC2
Uthai Thani0
Prachuap1
Pathum United10
Ubonkids City0
Muang Thong Utd0
Lamphun Warrior1
Sukhothai3
Nong Bua Pitchaya0
Port MTI FC0
Bangkok Utd3
Kanchanaburi1
Police Tero0
Customs Utd1
Buriram United F.C.5
Pattani2
Nakhon Ratchasima FC0
Samui United1
Khonkaen United3
Bankhai United1
Nakhon Pathom3
Ayutthaya United6
Roi Et 20180
Uttaradit FC1
Pattaya City0
Sisaket United1
Rayong FC0
Phitsanulok1
Ratchaburi2
1/8-finals
Chiangrai Utd3
Prime Bangkok2
Prachuap1
Pathum United0
Lamphun Warrior2
Sukhothai0
Bangkok Utd3
Kanchanaburi1
Buriram United F.C.4
Pattani0
Khonkaen United2
Nakhon Pathom0
Ayutthaya United3
Uttaradit FC0
Sisaket United1
Ratchaburi3
Quarter-finals
Chiangrai Utd0
Prachuap1
Lamphun Warrior2
Bangkok Utd1
Buriram United F.C.6
Khonkaen United0
Ayutthaya United1
Ratchaburi0
Semi-finals
Prachuap1
Lamphun Warrior0
Buriram United F.C.5
Ayutthaya United0
Final
Prachuap0
Buriram United F.C.1