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Stadium Background

Mahasarakham vs Sisaket United

Thailand Thailand

Thai League 2 2025/2026 Maha Sarakham Provincial Stadium, Maha Sarakham
Our Tip

Match Events

90' Event
Kwon Dae-hee

AI Match Summary

Sisaket United in this Thai League 2 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sisaket United.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

24%
Mahasarakham
35%
Draws
41%
Sisaket United
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Sisaket United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Sisaket United have won more games recently than Mahasarakham.
  • Sisaket United are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular Thai League 2 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Mahasarakham Clean Sheet 10%
Sisaket United Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mahasarakham Sisaket United
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 11 15
Draws 8 9
Losses 12 6
Goals Scored 1.32 1.47
Goals Conceded 1.29 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 15, 2026 Thai League 2
Mahasarakham vs Sisaket United
0:1
Oct 4, 2025 Thai League 2
Sisaket United vs Mahasarakham
1:0
Feb 12, 2025 Thai League 2
Sisaket United vs Mahasarakham
0:0
Oct 6, 2024 Thai League 2
Mahasarakham vs Sisaket United
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mahasarakham Compare

Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sisaket United Compare

Top Goalscorer Kwon Dae-hee
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mahasarakham 26 / 100
Sisaket United 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mahasarakham Sisaket United

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sisaket United Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mahasarakham found the back of the net in 68% of recent matches (31 games).

Sisaket United's defensive record shows goals conceded in 60% of 30 matches.

Mahasarakham has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

Mahasarakham VS Sisaket United
0.5 Goals Scored 1.75
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Mahasarakham

(Home)
19 Sept
Kanchanaburi
1 : 1
Mahasarakham
16 Sept
Mahasarakham
1 : 1
Nakhon Ratchasima FC
12 Sept
Khonkaen United
3 : 0
Mahasarakham
05 Sept
Mahasarakham
1 : 1
Songkhla
25 Apr
Mahasarakham
2 : 2
Khonkaen United
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Sisaket United

(Away)
19 Sept
Chiangrai Utd
0 : 1
Sisaket United
12 Sept
Sisaket United
0 : 1
Ayutthaya United
05 Sept
Bangkok Utd
3 : 1
Sisaket United
28 Aug
Buriram United F.C.
3 : 3
Sisaket United
25 Apr
Sisaket United
5 : 1
Songkhla
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rasisalai United 34 20 11 3 64:35 71
2 Sisaket United 34 16 12 6 49:31 60
3 Pattani 34 16 10 8 49:45 58
4 Nong Bua Pitchaya 34 16 6 12 59:59 54
5 Police Tero 34 15 8 11 50:44 53
6 Chainat Hornbill 34 12 10 12 50:46 46
7 Khonkaen United 34 11 12 11 60:52 45
8 Mahasarakham 34 12 9 13 47:42 45
9 Trat FC 34 12 8 14 49:53 44
10 Chiangmai United 34 14 1 19 55:58 43
11 Phrae United 34 10 13 11 40:50 43
12 Pattaya United 34 10 12 12 45:42 42
13 Songkhla 34 11 8 15 37:46 41
14 Chanthaburi 34 10 10 14 44:46 40
15 Nakhon Pathom 34 10 9 15 29:37 39
16 Kasetsart 34 9 11 14 46:49 38
17 Nakhon Si United 34 8 12 14 32:54 36
18 Bangkok FC 34 9 8 17 40:56 35
19 Lampang F.C. 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Thai League 1 (Main)
Promotion - Thai League 2 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)