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Mahia vs Bandari - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Kenya Kenya

Premier League
Fri, Sep 11, 2026
VS
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Mahia host Bandari in the Premier League. Chances could be at a premium in this fixture. Bandari have shipped 0.83 goals a game lately, while Mahia have conceded 1 and scored 1.3. Past meetings favor Mahia slightly — 2-0-3 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Sep 11, 2026, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 0.92 vs 1.06, favoring Mahia. AI goal market prediction: Under 2.5, BTTS: NG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Mahia
15%
Draws
57%
Bandari
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Bandari

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Mahia come out ahead of Bandari on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 25%
Over 2.5 Goals 23%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%
Mahia Clean Sheet 22%
Bandari Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mahia Bandari
Matches Played 23 23
Wins 11 8
Draws 5 9
Losses 7 6
Goals Scored 1.3 1
Goals Conceded 1 0.83
Expected Goals (xG) 0.92 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 11, 2026 Premier League
Mahia vs Bandari
0:0
Apr 19, 2026 Premier League
Mahia vs Bandari
0:0
Dec 12, 2025 Premier League
Bandari vs Mahia
1:1
Apr 12, 2025 FKF Mozzart Bet Cup
Bandari vs Mahia
0:2
Mar 15, 2025 Premier League
Mahia vs Bandari
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mahia 32 / 100
Bandari 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mahia Bandari

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bandari Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mahia scored in 70% of their last 23 games.

Away concern: Bandari has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Defensive concern: Bandari conceded in 57% of 23 recent games.

Games between these two average 1.20 goals.

Scoring Trends

Mahia VS Bandari
0.63 Goals Scored 0
1.13 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Mahia

(Home)
13 Sept
Pyramids
5 : 1
Mahia
06 Sept
Mahia
0 : 2
Pyramids
23 Aug
Mahia
1 : 3
Tusker
07 Aug
Rayon Sport
2 : 1
Mahia
04 Aug
Mahia
2 : 1
Al Hilal Omdurman
Page 1 of 5

Bandari

(Away)
14 Jun
KCB
0 : 2
Bandari
31 May
Mathare United
1 : 0
Bandari
24 May
Bandari
1 : 0
Tusker
20 May
Bandari
0 : 2
APS Bomet
16 May
Police FC
1 : 0
Bandari
Page 1 of 5

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mathare United 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Ulinzi Stars 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Tusker 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Mahia 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
5 Leopards 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
6 KCB 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
7 Posta Rangers 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
8 Bandari 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
9 Kakamega Homeboyz 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
10 Police FC 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
11 Migori 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
12 Shabana 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
13 APS Bomet 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
14 Muranga 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
15 Mombasa United 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
16 Mara Sugar 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
17 Nairobi United 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
18 3K FC 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Super League 2027/2028 (Main)