Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Mahia vs JKU

Africa Africa

CECAFA Clubs Cup 2018
2 - 0
FT
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Mahia in this CECAFA Clubs Cup 2018 tie, finishing 2-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Mahia
15%
Draws
42%
JKU
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Mahia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • JKU haven't matched Mahia's recent run of results.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Mahia taking it.
  • Mahia have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Mahia, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 18%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65%
Mahia Clean Sheet 20%
JKU Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mahia JKU
Matches Played 27 23
Wins 15 5
Draws 5 3
Losses 7 15
Goals Scored 1.48 0.61
Goals Conceded 0.89 1.91
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 13, 2018 CECAFA Kagame Cup
Mahia vs JKU
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mahia 42 / 100
JKU 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mahia JKU

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mahia scored in 74% of their last 27 games.

JKU's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 23 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

JKU lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Mahia VS -
0.75 Goals Scored 0
0.5 Goals Conceded 0
25% Over 1.5 0%
13% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Mahia

(Home)
13 Sept
Pyramids
5 : 1
Mahia
06 Sept
Mahia
0 : 2
Pyramids
23 Aug
Mahia
1 : 3
Tusker
07 Aug
Rayon Sport
2 : 1
Mahia
04 Aug
Mahia
2 : 1
Al-Hilal Omdurman
Page 1 of 6

JKU

(Away)
24 Aug
Pyramids
3 : 1
JKU
18 Aug
JKU
0 : 6
Pyramids
15 Jul
JKU
1 : 2
Dekedda
12 Jul
Coastal Union
0 : 2
JKU
09 Jul
Hay Al Wadi
1 : 0
JKU
Page 1 of 5

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Mahia 2
Vipers 1
Rayon Sport 2
Azam 4
Simba 1
Port 0
Singida United 0
JKU 1
Semi-finals
Mahia 0
Azam 2
Simba 1
JKU 0
Final
Azam 2
Simba 1
Mahia 2
JKU 0