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Mahia vs Muranga - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Kenya Kenya

Premier League 2026/2027
Sat, Oct 10, 2026
VS
01:15 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Mahia host Muranga in the Premier League 2026/2027. Form suggests where the edge lies here. Mahia have averaged 1.43 scored and 0.89 conceded recently, against Muranga's 1.38 scored and 1.42 conceded. Head-to-head, Mahia have won 3 to Muranga's 0, with 2 draws. They last met on May 17, 2026, ending 1:3. Model xG sits at 0.70 vs 0.71, favoring Mahia. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Under 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Mahia
15%
Draws
64%
Muranga
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Muranga

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Mahia come out ahead of Muranga on wins alone.
  • Model gives Muranga a 64% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Premier League 2026/2027 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 38.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Mahia Clean Sheet 27%
Muranga Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mahia Muranga
Matches Played 28 24
Wins 15 11
Draws 6 3
Losses 7 10
Goals Scored 1.43 1.38
Goals Conceded 0.89 1.42
Expected Goals (xG) 0.70 0.71
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2026 Premier League
Muranga vs Mahia
1:3
Jan 14, 2026 Premier League
Mahia vs Muranga
3:2
May 25, 2025 FKF Mozzart Bet Cup
Mahia vs Muranga
3:2
May 18, 2025 Premier League
Muranga vs Mahia
0:0
Nov 2, 2024 Premier League
Mahia vs Muranga
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mahia 14 / 100
Muranga 86 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mahia Muranga

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Muranga Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

Mahia scored in 71% of their last 28 games.

Muranga's defensive record shows goals conceded in 75% of 24 matches.

Mahia went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Mahia VS Muranga
1.25 Goals Scored 0.29
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.14
63% Over 1.5 14%
50% Over 2.5 14%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Mahia

(Home)
13 Sept
Pyramids
5 : 1
Mahia
06 Sept
Mahia
0 : 2
Pyramids
23 Aug
Mahia
1 : 3
Tusker
07 Aug
Rayon Sport
2 : 1
Mahia
04 Aug
Mahia
2 : 1
Al-Hilal Omdurman
Page 1 of 6

Muranga

(Away)
31 May
Muranga
2 : 1
Mara Sugar
24 May
Bidco United
0 : 2
Muranga
17 May
Muranga
1 : 3
Mahia
10 May
Muranga
1 : 0
Kakamega Homeboyz
06 May
Police FC
2 : 1
Muranga
Page 1 of 5

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mathare United 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Ulinzi Stars 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Tusker 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Mahia 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
5 Leopards 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
6 KCB 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
7 Posta Rangers 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
8 Bandari 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
9 Kakamega Homeboyz 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
10 Police FC 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
11 Migori 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
12 Shabana 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
13 APS Bomet 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
14 Muranga 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
15 Mombasa United 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
16 Mara Sugar 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
17 Nairobi United 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
18 3K FC 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Super League 2027/2028 (Main)