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Mahia vs Pyramids - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Africa Africa

CAF Champions League
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
El Karti W.
45' Event
Saber M.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 5-1. The second leg ended 0-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Mahia
15%
Draws
47%
Pyramids
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Pyramids

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Pyramids carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Pyramids are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Pyramids arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Pyramids, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Mahia Clean Sheet 10%
Pyramids Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mahia Pyramids
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 17 22
Draws 5 3
Losses 8 4
Goals Scored 1.47 2.07
Goals Conceded 0.9 0.72
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2026 CAF Champions League
Pyramids vs Mahia
5:1
Sep 6, 2026 CAF Champions League
Mahia vs Pyramids
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mahia Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Pyramids Compare

Top Goalscorer El Karti W.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Saber M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mahia 22 / 100
Pyramids 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mahia Pyramids

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pyramids Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Mahia scored in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Recent resilience: Mahia stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Pyramids has conceded goals in 59% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

Mahia VS Pyramids
1.13 Goals Scored 2.5
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.63
50% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Mahia

(Home)
01 Nov
Mahia
1 : 2
KCB
28 Oct
Kakamega Homeboyz
0 : 1
Mahia
24 Oct
Mahia
1 : 0
Bandari
17 Oct
APS Bomet
0 : 1
Mahia
13 Oct
Mahia
4 : 2
Muranga
Page 1 of 6

Pyramids

(Away)
03 Nov
Smouha
0 : 1
Pyramids
29 Oct
Pyramids
2 : 1
Wadi Degla
24 Oct
Pyramids
4 : 0
EL Merriekh Bentiu
20 Oct
El Gaish
1 : 4
Pyramids
16 Oct
EL Merriekh Bentiu
0 : 1
Pyramids
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Wiliete 5
Foresters 0
TBD -
Mamelodi Sundowns -
Scottland 1
Nsingizini Hotspurs 0
UD Songo 2
Petro Atletico 3
Mangasport 3
African Stars 3
La Cure Waves 1
Orlando Pirates 3
15 de Agosto 5
Fomboni 0
Mighty Wanderers FC 1
Simba 7
CFFA 3
Lijabatho 1
Gaborone Utd 2
Young Africans 3
Asswehly 4
KVZ 0
TBD -
Esperance Tunis -
Aigles du Congo 1
APR 3
Port 1
Zamalek 6
EL Merriekh Bentiu 4
Heegan 0
Mahia 1
Pyramids 7
Aiglons 0
Sidama Bunna 3
Aigle Noir 0
Al Hilal Omdurman 3
Star Sport Academy 1
Medina United 1
TBD -
Berkane -
Maghreb Fez 4
Rahimo 1
ASC Kara 2
ASEC Mimosas 3
Canchungo 0
Teungueth 2
Colombe 1
Stade Malien 0
Rangers International 3
Sobemap 2
Nigelec 0
MC Alger 5
San Pedro 3
Rivers United 3
Vipers 1
Nouadhibou 1
Saoura 2
Horoya 3
Al Merreikh 2
Power Dynamos 0
Medeama 1
Mazembe 4
Club Africain 3
Djoliba 2
Final
Wiliete 1
Mamelodi Sundowns 1
Scottland 2
Petro Atletico 3
African Stars 0
Orlando Pirates 5
15 de Agosto 1
Simba 9
CFFA 1
Young Africans 8
Asswehly 1
Esperance Tunis 2
APR 0
Zamalek 2
EL Merriekh Bentiu 0
Pyramids 5
Sidama Bunna 0
Al Hilal Omdurman 4
Star Sport Academy 0
Berkane 3
Maghreb Fez 3
ASEC Mimosas 2
Teungueth 0
Colombe 3
Rangers International 2
MC Alger 3
San Pedro 2
Nouadhibou 3
Horoya 2
Al Merreikh 1
Mazembe 1
Club Africain 2