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Mahlsdorf vs SFC Stern 1900

Germany Germany

Oberliga NOFV-Nord 2021/2022
Sun, Jun 12, 2022
VS
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Mahlsdorf host SFC Stern 1900 in the Oberliga NOFV-Nord 2021/2022. Recent form is the clearest guide to this one. SFC Stern 1900 have shipped 1.8 goals a game lately, while Mahlsdorf have conceded 1.33 and scored 2. Head-to-head, Mahlsdorf have won 0 to SFC Stern 1900's 0, with 2 draws. They last met on Jun 12, 2022, ending 0:0. xG projections (1.35 - 1.13) back Mahlsdorf to edge this. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Mahlsdorf
20%
Draws
33%
SFC Stern 1900
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Mahlsdorf

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Mahlsdorf lately — more wins on the board than SFC Stern 1900.
  • Mahlsdorf are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Oberliga NOFV-Nord 2021/2022 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Mahlsdorf Clean Sheet 20%
SFC Stern 1900 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mahlsdorf SFC Stern 1900
Matches Played 39 25
Wins 20 8
Draws 9 6
Losses 10 11
Goals Scored 2 1.12
Goals Conceded 1.33 1.8
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 12, 2022 Oberliga NOFV-Nord
Mahlsdorf vs SFC Stern 1900
0:0
Feb 27, 2022 Oberliga NOFV-Nord
SFC Stern 1900 vs Mahlsdorf
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mahlsdorf 85 / 100
SFC Stern 1900 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mahlsdorf SFC Stern 1900

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mahlsdorf Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: SFC Stern 1900 conceded in 80% of 25 recent games.

Mahlsdorf found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (39 games).

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Mahlsdorf went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Mahlsdorf VS -
1.5 Goals Scored 0
1.25 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Mahlsdorf

(Home)
26 Sept
Mahlsdorf
3 : 1
FSV Schwerin
20 Sept
Berliner AK 07
1 : 0
Mahlsdorf
13 Sept
Mahlsdorf
2 : 0
Sparta Lichtenberg
30 Aug
Reinickendorfer
1 : 1
Mahlsdorf
15 Aug
Mahlsdorf
1 : 0
Rathenow
Page 1 of 8

SFC Stern 1900

(Away)
27 Jul
Rsv Eintracht
7 : 0
SFC Stern 1900
24 Jul
SFC Stern 1900
2 : 1
Sparta Lichtenberg
23 Jul
SV Tasmania Berlin
1 : 3
SFC Stern 1900
08 Jul
SC Staaken
2 : 2
SFC Stern 1900
20 Jul
SFC Stern 1900
2 : 4
Berliner SC
Page 1 of 5

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Greifswalder FC 31 21 5 5 61:35 68
2 Hertha Zehlendorf 32 21 3 8 67:31 66
3 CFC Hertha 32 19 6 7 58:36 63
4 Blau Weiss Berlin 31 19 3 9 64:41 60
5 TSG Neustrelitz 30 17 7 6 44:25 58
6 SC Staaken 32 17 8 7 67:36 59
7 Rostocker FC 31 18 2 11 68:32 56
8 Mahlsdorf 31 15 6 10 55:38 51
9 Torgelower Greif 31 14 6 11 60:37 48
10 Hansa Rostock II 31 13 8 10 73:49 47
11 Rsv Eintracht 31 11 12 8 49:43 45
12 Pampow 31 10 9 12 47:55 39
13 FSV Schwerin 32 10 4 18 39:63 34
14 Ludwigsfelder 31 9 6 16 31:46 33
15 Neuruppin 31 6 10 15 35:63 28
16 SFC Stern 1900 31 5 8 18 32:64 23
17 Brandenburger 32 5 7 20 26:55 22
18 Seelow 30 4 4 22 31:84 16
19 Stendal 31 3 4 24 27:101 13
Promotion - Regionalliga Nordost 2022/2023 (Main)