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Maia Lidador vs Chaves B - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
Zimbabwe
(Penalty)
70'
Eboudje B.

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato de Portugal - Group A game between Maia Lidador and Chaves B finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Maia Lidador.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Maia Lidador
20%
Draws
42%
Chaves B
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Chaves B

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Chaves B carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 35%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Maia Lidador Clean Sheet 18%
Chaves B Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Maia Lidador Chaves B
Matches Played 14 30
Wins 3 11
Draws 2 8
Losses 9 11
Goals Scored 1 1.53
Goals Conceded 1.86 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 1, 2026 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Maia Lidador vs Chaves B
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Maia Lidador 32 / 100
Chaves B 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Maia Lidador Chaves B

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Maia Lidador scored in 64% of their last 14 games.

Chaves B's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 30 matches.

Maia Lidador went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

H2H data points to 1.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Maia Lidador VS Chaves B
1.13 Goals Scored 1.38
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.88
50% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Maia Lidador

(Home)
01 Nov
Maia Lidador
1 : 0
Chaves B
25 Oct
Tirsense
3 : 5
Maia Lidador
11 Oct
Maia Lidador
1 : 1
Maria de Fonte
20 Sept
AD Marco 09
1 : 0
Maia Lidador
13 Sept
CDC Montalegre
1 : 1
Maia Lidador
Page 1 of 3

Chaves B

(Away)
01 Nov
Maia Lidador
1 : 0
Chaves B
25 Oct
Chaves B
0 : 1
Braga B
11 Oct
Brito
0 : 4
Chaves B
13 Sept
Chaves B
1 : 0
Celoricense
06 Sept
Vinhais
1 : 2
Chaves B
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 AD Limianos 7 5 2 0 17:10 17
2 Braga B 7 4 3 0 14:7 15
3 GD Braganca 7 4 1 2 9:6 13
4 CDC Montalegre 7 3 3 1 9:4 12
5 Tirsense 7 4 0 3 13:10 12
6 Chaves B 7 4 0 3 9:6 12
7 Ponte da Barca 7 3 1 3 7:9 10
8 Rebordosa 7 2 3 2 10:3 9
9 Celoricense 7 2 3 2 5:5 9
10 Vila Mea 7 2 3 2 10:8 9
11 Maia Lidador 7 2 2 3 9:9 8
12 Brito 7 2 0 5 9:17 6
13 Maria de Fonte 7 1 1 5 4:12 4
14 Vinhais 7 0 0 7 3:22 0
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Campeonato de Portugal - Relegation Group 2026/2027 (Main)