Sport Picks
Maidstone vs Farnborough
England
National League South 2025/2026 Gallagher Stadium, Maidstone 
Match Events
72'
72'
Gilbert J.
AI Match Summary
The National League South 2025/2026 game between Maidstone and Farnborough finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Maidstone.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
40%
20%
40%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
40%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Maidstone come out ahead of Farnborough on wins alone.
- Maidstone are the model's pick here, at 50%.
- Regular National League South 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Maidstone Clean Sheet 20%
Farnborough Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Maidstone | Farnborough |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 28 |
| Wins | 17 | 12 |
| Draws | 5 | 6 |
| Losses | 6 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 2.29 | 1.82 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.14 | 1.75 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.06 | 0.94 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 8, 2026 National League South
Maidstone vs Farnborough
1:2
Mar 14, 2026 National League South
Maidstone vs Farnborough
1:0
Oct 18, 2025 National League South
Farnborough vs Maidstone
0:2
Apr 26, 2025 National League South
Farnborough vs Maidstone
2:2
Dec 21, 2024 National League South
Maidstone vs Farnborough
4:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Maidstone Compare
Top Goalscorer Gilbert J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.58
Avg xA / game 1.03
Farnborough Compare
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Maidstone 49 / 100
Farnborough 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Maidstone Farnborough
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Maidstone Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Maidstone found the back of the net in 93% of recent matches (28 games).
Defensive concern: Farnborough conceded in 79% of 28 recent games.
H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.
Maidstone has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Maidstone VS Farnborough
3 Goals Scored 1.25
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Maidstone
(Home) 22 Aug
Dorking Wanderers
2 : 3 Maidstone
18 Aug
Maidstone
1 : 1 Folkestone
15 Aug
Walton & Hersham
0 : 3 Maidstone
08 Aug
Maidstone
1 : 2 Farnborough
01 Aug
Chatham
0 : 3 Maidstone
Page 1 of 6
18 Aug
Maidstone
1 : 1 Folkestone
08 Aug
Maidstone
1 : 2 Farnborough
28 Jul
Maidstone
5 : 0 Brentwood
25 Jul
Maidstone
4 : 0 Ashford United
11 Jul
Maidstone
4 : 1 Welling
Page 1 of 3
Farnborough
(Away) 22 Aug
Maidenhead
1 : 1 Farnborough
19 Aug
Farnborough
1 : 0 Chesham
15 Aug
Farnborough
0 : 2 Hemel Hempstead
08 Aug
Maidstone
1 : 2 Farnborough
01 Aug
Farnborough
3 : 0 Bath City
Page 1 of 6
22 Aug
Maidenhead
1 : 1 Farnborough
08 Aug
Maidstone
1 : 2 Farnborough
18 Jul
Aldershot
2 : 1 Farnborough
07 Jul
Ashford Town
0 : 1 Farnborough
04 Jul
Cobham
1 : 3 Farnborough
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Worthing FC | 46 | 25 | 9 | 12 | 99:52 | 84 |
| 2 | Hornchurch | 46 | 23 | 12 | 11 | 81:64 | 81 |
| 3 | Torquay | 46 | 24 | 8 | 14 | 87:62 | 80 |
| 4 | Dorking Wanderers | 46 | 23 | 10 | 13 | 78:61 | 79 |
| 5 | Hemel Hempstead | 46 | 23 | 10 | 13 | 55:48 | 79 |
| 6 | Weston-super-Mare | 46 | 23 | 9 | 14 | 61:48 | 78 |
| 7 | Maidenhead | 46 | 22 | 11 | 13 | 66:41 | 77 |
| 8 | Maidstone | 46 | 22 | 11 | 13 | 72:50 | 77 |
| 9 | Ebbsfleet | 46 | 22 | 11 | 13 | 73:54 | 77 |
| 10 | Chelmsford | 46 | 21 | 10 | 15 | 73:62 | 73 |
| 11 | Chesham | 46 | 21 | 9 | 16 | 68:55 | 72 |
| 12 | AFC Totton | 46 | 20 | 6 | 20 | 60:79 | 66 |
| 13 | Dagenham & Red. | 46 | 17 | 13 | 16 | 61:62 | 64 |
| 14 | Tonbridge | 46 | 16 | 12 | 18 | 66:65 | 60 |
| 15 | Horsham FC | 46 | 15 | 14 | 17 | 53:54 | 59 |
| 16 | Slough Town | 46 | 15 | 9 | 22 | 69:87 | 54 |
| 17 | Salisbury | 46 | 14 | 11 | 21 | 50:65 | 53 |
| 18 | Hampton & Richmond | 46 | 14 | 11 | 21 | 56:72 | 53 |
| 19 | Farnborough | 46 | 14 | 11 | 21 | 72:92 | 53 |
| 20 | Dover Ath. | 46 | 13 | 11 | 22 | 60:75 | 50 |
| 21 | Bath City | 46 | 10 | 13 | 23 | 50:77 | 43 |
| 22 | Chippenham Town | 46 | 11 | 9 | 26 | 53:80 | 42 |
| 23 | Enfield Town | 46 | 9 | 13 | 24 | 55:82 | 40 |
| 24 | Eastbourne Borough | 46 | 9 | 9 | 28 | 59:90 | 36 |
Promotion - National League (Main)
Promotion - National League South 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - National League South 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
