Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Maidstone vs Folkestone

England England

National League South Gallagher Stadium, Maidstone
Our Tip

Match Events

55' Event
Lovatt A.
58' Event
Charles K.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this National League South matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Maidstone
20%
Draws
33%
Folkestone
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Maidstone

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Maidstone have won more games recently than Folkestone.
  • Maidstone are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • Regular National League South form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Maidstone Clean Sheet 20%
Folkestone Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Maidstone Folkestone
Matches Played 29 27
Wins 17 14
Draws 5 8
Losses 7 5
Goals Scored 2.21 2.07
Goals Conceded 1.07 1.11
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 18, 2026 National League South
Maidstone vs Folkestone
1:1
Sep 12, 2025 FA Cup
Folkestone vs Maidstone
2:0
Jul 30, 2024 Club Friendly
Folkestone vs Maidstone
0:1
Jul 23, 2022 Club Friendly
Folkestone vs Maidstone
1:2
Aug 7, 2021 Club Friendly
Folkestone vs Maidstone
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Maidstone Compare

Top Goalscorer Charles K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97

Folkestone Compare

Top Goalscorer Lovatt A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Maidstone 36 / 100
Folkestone 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Maidstone Folkestone

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Maidstone scored in 90% of their last 29 games.

Folkestone has conceded goals in 63% of their last 27 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Maidstone has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Maidstone VS Folkestone
3 Goals Scored 1.38
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.88
100% Over 1.5 63%
88% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Maidstone

(Home)
18 Aug
Maidstone
1 : 1
Folkestone
15 Aug
Walton & Hersham
0 : 3
Maidstone
08 Aug
Maidstone
1 : 2
Farnborough
01 Aug
Chatham
0 : 3
Maidstone
28 Jul
Maidstone
5 : 0
Brentwood
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Folkestone

(Away)
18 Aug
Maidstone
1 : 1
Folkestone
08 Aug
Folkestone
5 : 1
Walton & Hersham
01 Aug
Folkestone
2 : 0
Welling
28 Jul
Sutton
2 : 1
Folkestone
25 Jul
Sholing
1 : 0
Folkestone
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dagenham & Red. 4 4 0 0 7:1 12
2 Horsham FC 4 2 2 0 5:2 8
3 Weston-super-Mare 4 2 1 1 8:3 7
4 Truro 3 2 1 0 4:0 7
5 Maidstone 4 2 1 1 8:5 7
6 Hemel Hempstead 4 2 1 1 5:3 7
7 Farnborough 4 2 1 1 4:4 7
8 Billericay 3 2 0 1 6:3 6
9 Tonbridge 4 2 0 2 6:4 6
10 Dover Ath. 4 2 0 2 8:8 6
11 AFC Totton 3 2 0 1 2:3 6
12 Folkestone 3 1 2 0 7:3 5
13 Torquay 4 1 2 1 3:4 5
14 Maidenhead 4 1 2 1 2:3 5
15 Salisbury 3 1 1 1 6:2 4
16 Dorking Wanderers 4 1 1 2 5:4 4
17 Chelmsford 3 0 3 0 2:2 3
18 Chesham 4 1 0 3 4:7 3
19 Farnham 4 1 0 3 4:7 3
20 Braintree 3 1 0 2 4:8 3
21 Hampton & Richmond 4 1 0 3 5:13 3
22 Ebbsfleet 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
23 Slough Town 3 0 0 3 6:11 0
24 Walton & Hersham 4 0 0 4 1:12 0
Promotion - National League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - National League South (Play Offs)
Promotion - National League South (Play Offs)