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Maidstone vs Maidenhead - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

National League South
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Maidstone host Maidenhead in the National League South. Recent form is the clearest guide to this one. Maidstone have averaged 2.14 scored and 1.1 conceded recently, against Maidenhead's 1.26 scored and 1.19 conceded. Past meetings favor Maidenhead slightly — 1-3-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 7, 2026, ending 2:1. Model xG sits at 1.56 vs 1.13, favoring Maidstone. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Maidstone
20%
Draws
51%
Maidenhead
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Maidenhead

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Maidstone have won more games recently than Maidenhead.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Maidstone Clean Sheet 20%
Maidenhead Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Maidstone Maidenhead
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 20 11
Draws 3 9
Losses 6 11
Goals Scored 2.14 1.26
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.19
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 7, 2026 National League South
Maidenhead vs Maidstone
2:1
Sep 20, 2025 National League South
Maidstone vs Maidenhead
0:1
Mar 18, 2023 National League
Maidenhead vs Maidstone
2:1
Nov 26, 2022 National League
Maidstone vs Maidenhead
3:2
Dec 18, 2021 FA Trophy
Maidenhead vs Maidstone
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Maidstone 32 / 100
Maidenhead 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Maidstone Maidenhead

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Maidenhead Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Maidstone scored in 93% of their last 29 games.

Defensive concern: Maidenhead conceded in 65% of 31 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Maidstone went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Maidstone VS Maidenhead
1.63 Goals Scored 1.13
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Maidstone

(Home)
26 Sept
Maidstone
1 : 2
Truro
22 Sept
Maidstone
0 : 2
Cray Wanderers
19 Sept
Cray Wanderers
1 : 1
Maidstone
12 Sept
Braintree
2 : 1
Maidstone
08 Sept
Tonbridge
0 : 1
Maidstone
Page 1 of 6

Maidenhead

(Away)
26 Sept
Chesham
0 : 4
Maidenhead
19 Sept
Maidenhead
1 : 3
Ebbsfleet
12 Sept
Maidenhead
2 : 2
Billericay
08 Sept
Maidenhead
0 : 4
Torquay
05 Sept
Dover Ath.
0 : 3
Maidenhead
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Maidstone 10 6 1 3 18:11 19
2 Dagenham & Red. 10 6 1 3 10:7 19
3 Salisbury 10 5 3 2 18:7 18
4 Truro 10 5 3 2 15:7 18
5 Billericay 10 5 3 2 21:14 18
6 Weston-super-Mare 10 5 2 3 18:10 17
7 Farnham 10 5 2 3 16:14 17
8 Dover Ath. 10 5 2 3 17:16 17
9 Dorking Wanderers 10 4 4 2 22:16 16
10 Tonbridge 10 4 2 4 19:11 14
11 Maidenhead 10 3 4 3 12:11 13
12 Hemel Hempstead 10 3 4 3 10:10 13
13 Torquay 10 3 4 3 13:14 13
14 Ebbsfleet 6 3 3 0 7:3 12
15 Folkestone 10 3 3 4 15:12 12
16 Chelmsford 9 1 8 0 9:8 11
17 Horsham FC 9 2 5 2 9:10 11
18 Farnborough 9 3 2 4 8:13 11
19 Chesham 10 3 1 6 16:19 10
20 AFC Totton 9 3 1 5 8:15 10
21 Braintree 10 3 1 6 17:25 10
22 Hampton & Richmond 10 2 2 6 11:24 8
23 Walton & Hersham 10 1 2 7 9:27 5
24 Slough Town 10 1 1 8 10:24 4
Promotion - National League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - National League South (Play Offs)
Promotion - National League South (Play Offs)