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Maidstone vs Welling

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Court R.
33' Event
Charles K.
44' Event
Hanson R.

AI Match Summary

Maidstone in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 4-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Maidstone.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Maidstone
15%
Draws
59%
Welling
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Welling

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Maidstone lately — more wins on the board than Welling.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Maidstone Clean Sheet 16%
Welling Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Maidstone Welling
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 21 16
Draws 3 3
Losses 6 9
Goals Scored 2.33 1.86
Goals Conceded 1.07 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 11, 2026 Club Friendly
Maidstone vs Welling
4:1
Apr 18, 2025 National League South
Welling vs Maidstone
0:4
Jan 1, 2025 National League South
Maidstone vs Welling
1:0
Apr 1, 2024 National League South
Maidstone vs Welling
1:1
Oct 24, 2023 National League South
Welling vs Maidstone
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Maidstone Compare

Top Goalscorer Court R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Charles K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Welling Compare

Top Goalscorer Howard T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Maidstone 36 / 100
Welling 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Maidstone Welling

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Welling Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Maidstone's goal record stands at 93% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Welling has conceded goals in 75% of their last 28 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Maidstone remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Maidstone VS Welling
1.63 Goals Scored 1.88
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Maidstone

(Home)
26 Sept
Maidstone
1 : 2
Truro
22 Sept
Maidstone
0 : 2
Cray Wanderers
19 Sept
Cray Wanderers
1 : 1
Maidstone
12 Sept
Braintree
2 : 1
Maidstone
08 Sept
Tonbridge
0 : 1
Maidstone
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Welling

(Away)
26 Sept
Welling
2 : 3
Chertsey Town
19 Sept
Dulwich Hamlet
4 : 1
Welling
15 Sept
Welling
2 : 0
Cheshunt
12 Sept
Welling
4 : 1
Wingate & Finchley
08 Sept
Welling
2 : 1
Faversham
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