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Mailantarki Care vs Kogi United

Nigeria Nigeria

NNL 2022/2023
Mailantarki Care Logo

Mailantarki Care

3 - 1
FT
Kogi United Logo

Kogi United

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Mailantarki Care in this NNL 2022/2023 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Mailantarki Care.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Mailantarki Care
20%
Draws
22%
Kogi United
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Mailantarki Care

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Mailantarki Care average 0.92 goals a game right now, well clear of Kogi United's 0.79.
  • 58% — that's where the model lands on Mailantarki Care taking it.
  • Regular NNL 2022/2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Mailantarki Care Clean Sheet 20%
Kogi United Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mailantarki Care Kogi United
Matches Played 24 29
Wins 8 8
Draws 7 8
Losses 9 13
Goals Scored 0.92 0.79
Goals Conceded 0.92 1.28
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 0.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 7, 2023 NNL
Mailantarki Care vs Kogi United
3:1
Apr 8, 2023 NNL
Kogi United vs Mailantarki Care
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mailantarki Care 85 / 100
Kogi United 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mailantarki Care Kogi United

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mailantarki Care Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mailantarki Care found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (24 games).

Kogi United has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Mailantarki Care went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Mailantarki Care VS Kogi United
1.13 Goals Scored 0.25
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.5
50% Over 1.5 25%
25% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Mailantarki Care

(Home)
13 Apr
Mailantarki Care
2 : 1
Jigawa Golden Stars
06 Apr
Mailantarki Care
2 : 1
City FC Abuja
03 Apr
Sporting Supreme
1 : 1
Mailantarki Care
16 Mar
Sokoto United
2 : 1
Mailantarki Care
09 Mar
Mailantarki Care
0 : 0
Adamawa Utd
Page 1 of 5

Kogi United

(Away)
01 Jun
Kogi United
0 : 1
Plateau United
10 Jun
Hypebuzz
4 : 0
Kogi United
20 May
Mighty Jets
1 : 0
Kogi United
13 May
Kogi United
1 : 0
Abubakar Bukola Saraki
07 May
Mailantarki Care
3 : 1
Kogi United
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 EFCC FC 10 6 1 3 12:7 19
2 Mighty Jets 10 6 0 4 7:7 18
3 Hypebuzz 10 4 2 4 13:8 14
4 Mailantarki Care 10 4 2 4 8:6 14
5 Abubakar Bukola Saraki 10 4 0 6 7:11 12
6 Kogi United 10 2 3 5 5:13 9
Promotion - NNL 2022/2023 (Promotion Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Katsina Utd 10 6 3 1 14:6 21
2 City FC Abuja 10 5 1 4 7:10 16
3 Jigawa Golden Stars 10 4 3 3 11:8 15
4 Nigeria Airforce FC 10 2 5 3 7:8 11
5 FWC Champions 10 2 4 4 8:10 10
6 Green Beret 10 1 4 5 9:14 7
Promotion - NNL 2022/2023 (Promotion Group)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 One Rocket 10 6 2 2 17:10 20
2 Warri Wolves 10 5 3 2 10:8 18
3 Rovers FC 10 4 4 2 8:7 16
4 Vandrezzer 10 3 3 4 10:10 12
5 Henserd 10 3 1 6 13:15 10
6 Go Round 10 1 3 6 4:12 6
Promotion - NNL 2022/2023 (Promotion Group)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sporting Lagos 10 5 3 2 16:9 18
2 Ijebu 10 5 3 2 15:11 18
3 Crown FC 10 4 3 3 9:8 15
4 Gateway United 10 3 2 5 5:8 11
5 Smart City 10 4 1 5 7:13 10
6 Joy Cometh 10 2 2 6 9:15 8
Promotion - NNL 2022/2023 (Promotion Group)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kano Pillars 8 6 1 1 14:3 19
2 Kebbi 8 4 2 2 12:9 14
3 Malumfashi 8 4 1 3 12:8 13
4 Sokoto United 8 2 2 4 8:11 8
5 Zamfara United 8 0 2 6 2:17 2
Promotion - NNL 2022/2023 (Promotion Group)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 DMD 6 3 2 1 3:1 11
2 Yobe Stars 6 3 1 2 1:2 7
3 Adamawa Utd 6 2 1 3 3:5 7
4 Police Machine 6 1 2 3 2:4 5
Promotion - NNL 2022/2023 (Promotion Group)

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Abeokuta 8 5 2 1 16:7 17
2 Ekiti United 8 5 1 2 12:9 16
3 Madiba 8 4 2 2 16:7 14
4 Ikorodu United 8 2 0 6 8:14 6
5 Ebedei 8 1 1 6 5:20 4
Promotion - NNL 2022/2023 (Promotion Group)

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Heartland FC 10 6 4 0 10:4 22
2 Giant Brillars 10 4 3 3 10:8 15
3 Cynosure 10 4 2 4 14:8 14
4 Abia Comets 10 3 4 3 6:5 13
5 Edel FC 10 3 2 5 7:13 11
6 Ibom Youths 10 1 3 6 6:15 6
Promotion - NNL 2022/2023 (Promotion Group)