Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Mainz II vs FSV Frankfurt

Germany Germany

Regionalliga Sudwest
Our Tip

Match Events

22' Event
Haidara A.
55' Event
Iorga G.
90' Event
Burger K.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The Regionalliga Sudwest game between Mainz II and FSV Frankfurt finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Mainz II.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Mainz II
15%
Draws
59%
FSV Frankfurt
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: FSV Frankfurt

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Mainz II have managed 1.28 goals a game lately — FSV Frankfurt are scoring more at 2.11.
  • Win probability leans FSV Frankfurt's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Regular Regionalliga Sudwest form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Mainz II Clean Sheet 11%
FSV Frankfurt Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mainz II FSV Frankfurt
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 12 12
Draws 5 9
Losses 12 7
Goals Scored 1.28 2.11
Goals Conceded 1.41 1.54
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 16, 2026 Regionalliga Sudwest
Mainz II vs FSV Frankfurt
2:1
May 9, 2026 Regionalliga Sudwest
FSV Frankfurt vs Mainz II
1:1
Nov 9, 2025 Regionalliga Sudwest
Mainz II vs FSV Frankfurt
0:1
Apr 2, 2025 Regionalliga Sudwest
Mainz II vs FSV Frankfurt
3:0
Sep 28, 2024 Regionalliga Sudwest
FSV Frankfurt vs Mainz II
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mainz II Compare

Top Goalscorer Haidara A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

FSV Frankfurt Compare

Top Goalscorer Iorga G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mainz II 18 / 100
FSV Frankfurt 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mainz II FSV Frankfurt

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FSV Frankfurt Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mainz II's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Defensive concern: FSV Frankfurt conceded in 75% of 28 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Mainz II went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Mainz II VS FSV Frankfurt
1.13 Goals Scored 1.5
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Mainz II

(Home)
03 Oct
Mainz II
0 : 2
Freiburg II
26 Sept
Kassel
1 : 2
Mainz II
19 Sept
Mainz II
0 : 1
Kaiserslautern II
12 Sept
Freiberg
5 : 0
Mainz II
09 Sept
Mainz II
1 : 2
VfR Mannheim
Page 1 of 6

FSV Frankfurt

(Away)
03 Oct
Aalen
4 : 1
FSV Frankfurt
18 Sept
FSV Frankfurt
0 : 1
Stutt. Kickers
12 Sept
Ulm
1 : 2
FSV Frankfurt
08 Sept
FSV Frankfurt
2 : 0
Kassel
05 Sept
FSV Frankfurt
1 : 1
Kickers Offenbach
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Freiberg 10 5 5 0 26:11 20
2 Stutt. Kickers 10 6 2 2 19:13 20
3 Kickers Offenbach 10 6 1 3 20:13 19
4 Aalen 10 5 3 2 18:11 18
5 Freiburg II 9 4 4 1 18:11 16
6 Eintracht Trier 10 5 1 4 11:11 16
7 FC 08 Homburg 10 4 3 3 13:13 15
8 VfR Mannheim 9 3 5 1 14:9 14
9 TSV Steinbach Haiger 10 3 4 3 15:15 13
10 Sandhausen 10 3 4 3 16:20 13
11 FSV Frankfurt 9 3 3 3 14:13 12
12 Kassel 10 3 2 5 17:19 11
13 Eintracht Frankfurt II 8 3 1 4 11:12 10
14 Astoria Walldorf 10 2 3 5 15:18 9
15 Mainz II 10 3 0 7 10:21 9
16 Kaiserslautern II 9 2 3 4 7:18 9
17 Fulda-Lehnerz 10 1 3 6 14:22 6
18 Ulm 10 0 5 5 13:21 5
Promotion - 3. Liga 2027/2028 (Main)