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Mainz U19 vs Paderborn U19

Germany Germany

DFB Youth League 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The DFB Youth League 2025/2026 game between Mainz U19 and Paderborn U19 finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Mainz U19.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Mainz U19
20%
Draws
22%
Paderborn U19
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Mainz U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Paderborn U19 haven't matched Mainz U19's recent run of results.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 81%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 81%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.4%
Mainz U19 Clean Sheet 10%
Paderborn U19 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mainz U19 Paderborn U19
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 15 13
Draws 6 6
Losses 7 10
Goals Scored 2.25 2.55
Goals Conceded 1.61 1.97
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 25, 2026 DFB Youth League
Paderborn U19 vs Mainz U19
1:3
Mar 7, 2026 DFB Youth League
Mainz U19 vs Paderborn U19
4:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mainz U19 30 / 100
Paderborn U19 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mainz U19 Paderborn U19

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mainz U19's goal record stands at 86% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Paderborn U19 let in goals in 90% of their last 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Mainz U19 remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Mainz U19 VS Paderborn U19
2.13 Goals Scored 3.13
1.13 Goals Conceded 2.38
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 100%
25% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Mainz U19

(Home)
16 Aug
Kaiserslautern U19
0 : 0
Mainz U19
09 Aug
Mainz U19
1 : 1
Koln U19
02 Aug
Mainz U19
5 : 4
Augsburg U19
15 May
Hoffenheim U19
2 : 1
Mainz U19
09 May
RB Leipzig U19
0 : 1
Mainz U19
Page 1 of 6

Paderborn U19

(Away)
19 Aug
Paderborn U19
2 : 4
Hannover U19
15 Aug
Wolfsburg U19
4 : 1
Paderborn U19
08 Aug
Paderborn U19
0 : 3
Preussen Munster U19
02 Aug
Altona U19
0 : 11
Paderborn U19
17 May
Paderborn U19
2 : 3
Koln U19
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Hoffenheim U19 10 5 2 3 25:16 17
2 Mainz U19 10 5 1 4 21:15 16
3 Leverkusen U19 10 4 3 3 21:17 15
4 Paderborn U19 10 4 2 4 21:23 14
5 Union Berlin U19 10 3 2 5 16:22 11
6 Nurnberg U19 10 3 2 5 17:28 11
Promotion - DFB Youth League 2025/2026 (League A - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Wolfsburg U19 10 8 0 2 36:12 24
2 Heidenheim U19 10 4 3 3 22:20 15
3 Augsburg U19 10 5 0 5 15:15 15
4 Schalke U19 10 4 2 4 23:21 14
5 Dortmund U19 10 4 2 4 25:26 14
6 Holstein Kiel U19 10 1 1 8 9:36 4
Promotion - DFB Youth League 2025/2026 (League A - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 RB Leipzig U19 10 6 2 2 27:22 20
2 Kaiserslautern U19 10 5 2 3 22:17 17
3 Hannover U19 10 5 2 3 26:24 17
4 Bayern U19 10 4 3 3 29:21 15
5 B. Monchengladbach U19 10 4 3 3 22:18 15
6 Berliner AK 07 U19 10 0 0 10 5:29 0
Promotion - DFB Youth League 2025/2026 (League A - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Koln U19 10 6 2 2 27:10 20
2 Bochum U19 10 6 1 3 28:11 19
3 Cottbus U19 10 6 1 3 18:24 19
4 Hamburger U19 10 3 2 5 13:21 11
5 VfB Stuttgart U19 10 2 2 6 20:23 8
6 Ulm U19 10 2 2 6 13:30 8
Promotion - DFB Youth League 2025/2026 (League A - Play Offs)