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Mainz vs Crystal Palace

World World

Club Friendly 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

38' Event
da Costa D.
Own Goal
55' Event
Weiper N.
64' Event
Sieb A.

AI Match Summary

Mainz in this Club Friendly 2025 matchup, with the score ending 4-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Mainz.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Mainz
6%
Draws
4%
Crystal Palace
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Mainz

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Crystal Palace haven't matched Mainz's recent run of results.
  • Mainz are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Club Friendly 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Mainz Clean Sheet 20%
Crystal Palace Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mainz Crystal Palace
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 15 12
Draws 7 7
Losses 6 11
Goals Scored 4.13 1.63
Goals Conceded 0.63 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 4.13 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 29, 2025 Club Friendly
Mainz vs Crystal Palace
4:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mainz Compare

Top Goalscorer Weiper N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Sieb A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 3.18
Avg xA / game 2.06

Crystal Palace Compare

Top Goalscorer Esse R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Lacroix M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mainz 85 / 100
Crystal Palace 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mainz Crystal Palace

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MAI Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Mainz scored in 82% of their last 28 outings.

H2H data points to 7.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Mainz stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Crystal Palace's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

Mainz VS Crystal Palace
4.13 Goals Scored 1.63
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Mainz

(Home)
25 Jul
Mainz
3 : 0
Holstein Kiel
17 Jul
Mainz
4 : 1
Kaiserslautern
11 Jul
Eisbachtal
0 : 10
Mainz
04 Jul
Pfeddersheim
0 : 11
Mainz
16 May
Heidenheim
0 : 2
Mainz
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Crystal Palace

(Away)
28 Jul
Famalicao
0 : 1
Crystal Palace
28 Jul
Crystal Palace
0 : 3
Lens
25 Jul
Bromley
3 : 0
Crystal Palace
18 Jul
Crystal Palace
5 : 1
Swindon
27 May
Crystal Palace
1 : 0
Rayo Vallecano
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