Sport Picks
Match Events
9'
9'
Mouandilmadji M.
33'
33'
Sub
Ntcham O. In: Cift Y. E.
Out: Ntcham O.
44'
44'
Widmer S.
Assist: Lee Jae-Sung
AI Match Summary
Mainz in this Conference League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Mainz.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
65%
15%
20%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Mainz
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
65%
/ High Confidence
- Mainz have won more games recently than Samsunspor.
- Model gives Mainz a 65% chance of winning this.
- Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Mainz Clean Sheet 20%
Samsunspor Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Mainz | Samsunspor |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 17 | 13 |
| Draws | 7 | 5 |
| Losses | 6 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 2.67 | 1.4 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.17 | 1.47 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.38 | 0.81 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Dec 18, 2025 Conference League
Mainz vs Samsunspor
2:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Mainz Compare
Top Goalscorer Widmer S.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.83
Avg xA / game 1.19
Samsunspor Compare
Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Mainz 85 / 100
Samsunspor 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Mainz Samsunspor
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Mainz Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Mainz's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
Samsunspor let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.
Games between these two average 2.00 goals.
Mainz has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Mainz VS Samsunspor
3.38 Goals Scored 1.13
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Mainz
(Home) 19 Sept
B. Monchengladbach
3 : 4 Mainz
12 Sept
Mainz
1 : 3 Eintracht Frankfurt
06 Sept
Hamburger
0 : 5 Mainz
29 Aug
Mainz
0 : 0 Paderborn
23 Aug
Krieschow
0 : 9 Mainz
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
Mainz
1 : 3 Eintracht Frankfurt
29 Aug
Mainz
0 : 0 Paderborn
15 Aug
Mainz
2 : 1 Bournemouth
08 Aug
Mainz
4 : 0 Paris FC
31 Jul
Mainz
1 : 0 Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai
Page 1 of 3
Samsunspor
(Away) 20 Sept
Erzurumspor FK
1 : 0 Samsunspor
12 Sept
Samsunspor
1 : 5 Corum FK
06 Sept
Kocaelispor
1 : 0 Samsunspor
30 Aug
Samsunspor
0 : 2 Fenerbahce
22 Aug
Rizespor
0 : 2 Samsunspor
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
Erzurumspor FK
1 : 0 Samsunspor
06 Sept
Kocaelispor
1 : 0 Samsunspor
22 Aug
Rizespor
0 : 2 Samsunspor
08 Aug
Kasimpasa
3 : 0 Samsunspor
01 Aug
Westerlo
1 : 2 Samsunspor
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Strasbourg | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 11:5 | 16 |
| 2 | Rakow Czestochowa | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 9:2 | 14 |
| 3 | AEK | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 14:7 | 13 |
| 4 | Sparta Prague | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 10:3 | 13 |
| 5 | Rayo Vallecano | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 13:7 | 13 |
| 6 | Shakhtar | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 10:5 | 13 |
| 7 | Mainz | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 7:3 | 13 |
| 8 | AEK Larnaca | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 7:1 | 12 |
| 9 | Lausanne | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 6:3 | 11 |
| 10 | Crystal Palace | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 11:6 | 10 |
| 11 | Lech Poznan | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 12:8 | 10 |
| 12 | Samsunspor | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 10:6 | 10 |
| 13 | Celje | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8:7 | 10 |
| 14 | AZ Alkmaar | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 7:7 | 10 |
| 15 | Fiorentina | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 8:5 | 9 |
| 16 | Rijeka | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 5:2 | 9 |
| 17 | Jagiellonia | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 5:4 | 9 |
| 18 | Omonia | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 5:4 | 8 |
| 19 | Noah | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6:7 | 8 |
| 20 | Drita | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4:8 | 8 |
| 21 | KuPS | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 6:5 | 7 |
| 22 | Shkendija Tetovo | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4:5 | 7 |
| 23 | Zrinjski | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8:10 | 7 |
| 24 | Sigma Olomouc | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7:9 | 7 |
| 25 | Univ. Craiova | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6:8 | 7 |
| 26 | Lincoln Red Imps | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7:15 | 7 |
| 27 | Dynamo Kyiv | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 9:9 | 6 |
| 28 | Legia | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 8:8 | 6 |
| 29 | Slovan Bratislava | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 5:9 | 6 |
| 30 | Breidablik | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6:11 | 5 |
| 31 | Shamrock Rovers | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7:13 | 4 |
| 32 | Hacken | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 5:8 | 3 |
| 33 | Hamrun | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 4:11 | 3 |
| 34 | Shelbourne | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0:7 | 2 |
| 35 | Aberdeen | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3:14 | 2 |
| 36 | Rapid Vienna | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3:14 | 1 |
Promotion - Conference League 2025/2026 (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
Promotion - Conference League 2025/2026 (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)
