Sport Picks
Match Events
11'
11'
Sano K.
Assist: Kawasaki S.
19'
19'
Posch S.
Assist: Nebel P.
31'
31'
Doue G.
AI Match Summary
This match ends 2-0, with Mainz advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
69%
15%
16%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Mainz
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
69%
/ Very High Confidence
- Strasbourg haven't matched Mainz's recent run of results.
- Win probability leans Mainz's way, sitting at 90%.
- Mainz have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Mainz, who have won 1 of the last 3 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Mainz Clean Sheet 68%
Strasbourg Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Mainz | Strasbourg |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 16 | 11 |
| Draws | 7 | 6 |
| Losses | 6 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 4.38 | 1.38 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.88 | 2.5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 4.38 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 0.88 | 2.50 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 16, 2026 Conference League
Strasbourg vs Mainz
4:0
Apr 9, 2026 Conference League
Mainz vs Strasbourg
2:0
Aug 9, 2025 Club Friendly
Mainz vs Strasbourg
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Mainz Compare
Top Goalscorer Sano K.
1 Goals Assists Leader Posch S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 3.37
Avg xA / game 2.19
Strasbourg Compare
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Mainz 95 / 100
Strasbourg 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Mainz Strasbourg
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick MAI Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Mainz scored in 86% of their last 29 outings.
Defensive concern: Strasbourg conceded in 86% of 28 recent games.
Mainz has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Games between these two average 2.00 goals.
Scoring Trends
Mainz VS Strasbourg
4.38 Goals Scored 1.38
0.88 Goals Conceded 2.5
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Mainz
(Home) 01 Aug
Udinese
3 : 3 Mainz
31 Jul
Mainz
1 : 0 Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai
25 Jul
Mainz
3 : 0 Holstein Kiel
17 Jul
Mainz
4 : 1 Kaiserslautern
11 Jul
Eisbachtal
0 : 10 Mainz
Page 1 of 6
31 Jul
Mainz
1 : 0 Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai
25 Jul
Mainz
3 : 0 Holstein Kiel
17 Jul
Mainz
4 : 1 Kaiserslautern
10 May
Mainz
1 : 3 Union Berlin
25 Apr
Mainz
3 : 4 Bayern Munich
Page 1 of 3
Strasbourg
(Away) 04 Aug
Strasbourg
2 : 5 Elversberg
01 Aug
Brighton
4 : 3 Strasbourg
25 Jul
Strasbourg
0 : 2 Blackburn
20 Jul
Sporting CP
7 : 0 Strasbourg
17 May
Strasbourg
5 : 4 Monaco
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01 Aug
Brighton
4 : 3 Strasbourg
20 Jul
Sporting CP
7 : 0 Strasbourg
13 May
Brest
1 : 2 Strasbourg
10 May
Angers
1 : 1 Strasbourg
30 Apr
Rayo Vallecano
1 : 0 Strasbourg
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/16-finals
KuPS 0
Lech Poznan 3
Shakhtar -
TBD -
Noah 1
AZ Alkmaar 4
Sparta Prague -
TBD -
Zrinjski 1
Crystal Palace 3
AEK Larnaca -
TBD -
Jagiellonia 4
Fiorentina 5
Rakow Czestochowa -
TBD -
Shkendija Tetovo 0
Samsunspor 5
Rayo Vallecano -
TBD -
Drita 4
Celje 6
AEK -
TBD -
Sigma Olomouc 3
Lausanne 2
Mainz -
TBD -
Omonia 1
Rijeka 4
Strasbourg -
TBD -
1/8-finals
Lech Poznan 3
Shakhtar 4
AZ Alkmaar 6
Sparta Prague 1
Crystal Palace 2
AEK Larnaca 1
Fiorentina 4
Rakow Czestochowa 2
Samsunspor 2
Rayo Vallecano 3
Celje 2
AEK 4
Sigma Olomouc 0
Mainz 2
Rijeka 2
Strasbourg 3
Quarter-finals
Shakhtar 5
AZ Alkmaar 2
Crystal Palace 4
Fiorentina 2
Rayo Vallecano 4
AEK 3
Mainz 2
Strasbourg 4
Semi-finals
Shakhtar 2
Crystal Palace 5
Rayo Vallecano 2
Strasbourg 0
Final
Crystal Palace 1
Rayo Vallecano 0
