Sport Picks
Match Events
24'
24'
Weiper N.
38'
38'
Savic I.
45'
45'
Hanche-Olsen A.
AI Match Summary
Mainz in this Conference League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Mainz.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
39%
15%
46%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Zrinjski
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
39%
/ Low Confidence
- Zrinjski have won more games recently than Mainz.
- Model gives Mainz a 39% chance of winning this.
- European nights carry their own weight — this Conference League 2025/2026 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Mainz Clean Sheet 68%
Zrinjski Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Mainz | Zrinjski |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 16 | 18 |
| Draws | 7 | 6 |
| Losses | 6 | 5 |
| Goals Scored | 2.62 | 1.76 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.1 | 0.72 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.25 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 23, 2025 Conference League
Mainz vs Zrinjski
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Mainz Compare
Top Goalscorer Weiper N.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13
Zrinjski Compare
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Mainz 95 / 100
Zrinjski 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Mainz Zrinjski
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Mainz Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Mainz's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Solid form: Mainz remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Zrinjski's defensive record shows goals conceded in 52% of 29 matches.
Historical meetings average 1.00 goals per match.
Scoring Trends
Mainz VS Zrinjski
3.38 Goals Scored 2.25
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Mainz
(Home) 12 Sept
Mainz
1 : 3 Eintracht Frankfurt
06 Sept
Hamburger
0 : 5 Mainz
29 Aug
Mainz
0 : 0 Paderborn
23 Aug
Krieschow
0 : 9 Mainz
15 Aug
Mainz
2 : 1 Bournemouth
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12 Sept
Mainz
1 : 3 Eintracht Frankfurt
29 Aug
Mainz
0 : 0 Paderborn
15 Aug
Mainz
2 : 1 Bournemouth
08 Aug
Mainz
4 : 0 Paris FC
31 Jul
Mainz
1 : 0 Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai
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Zrinjski
(Away) 12 Sept
Borac Banja Luka
1 : 0 Zrinjski
06 Sept
Zrinjski
2 : 1 Siroki Brijeg
01 Sept
Zrinjski
3 : 1 BSK Banja Luka
29 Aug
FK Sarajevo
0 : 1 Zrinjski
23 Aug
Zrinjski
2 : 0 Zeljeznicar
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12 Sept
Borac Banja Luka
1 : 0 Zrinjski
29 Aug
FK Sarajevo
0 : 1 Zrinjski
16 Aug
Radnik Bijeljina
1 : 5 Zrinjski
23 Jul
Valur
1 : 0 Zrinjski
11 Jul
Siroki Brijeg
0 : 2 Zrinjski
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Strasbourg | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 11:5 | 16 |
| 2 | Rakow Czestochowa | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 9:2 | 14 |
| 3 | AEK | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 14:7 | 13 |
| 4 | Sparta Prague | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 10:3 | 13 |
| 5 | Rayo Vallecano | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 13:7 | 13 |
| 6 | Shakhtar | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 10:5 | 13 |
| 7 | Mainz | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 7:3 | 13 |
| 8 | AEK Larnaca | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 7:1 | 12 |
| 9 | Lausanne | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 6:3 | 11 |
| 10 | Crystal Palace | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 11:6 | 10 |
| 11 | Lech Poznan | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 12:8 | 10 |
| 12 | Samsunspor | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 10:6 | 10 |
| 13 | Celje | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8:7 | 10 |
| 14 | AZ Alkmaar | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 7:7 | 10 |
| 15 | Fiorentina | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 8:5 | 9 |
| 16 | Rijeka | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 5:2 | 9 |
| 17 | Jagiellonia | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 5:4 | 9 |
| 18 | Omonia | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 5:4 | 8 |
| 19 | Noah | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6:7 | 8 |
| 20 | Drita | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4:8 | 8 |
| 21 | KuPS | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 6:5 | 7 |
| 22 | Shkendija Tetovo | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4:5 | 7 |
| 23 | Zrinjski | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8:10 | 7 |
| 24 | Sigma Olomouc | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7:9 | 7 |
| 25 | Univ. Craiova | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6:8 | 7 |
| 26 | Lincoln Red Imps | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7:15 | 7 |
| 27 | Dynamo Kyiv | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 9:9 | 6 |
| 28 | Legia | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 8:8 | 6 |
| 29 | Slovan Bratislava | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 5:9 | 6 |
| 30 | Breidablik | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6:11 | 5 |
| 31 | Shamrock Rovers | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7:13 | 4 |
| 32 | Hacken | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 5:8 | 3 |
| 33 | Hamrun | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 4:11 | 3 |
| 34 | Shelbourne | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0:7 | 2 |
| 35 | Aberdeen | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3:14 | 2 |
| 36 | Rapid Vienna | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3:14 | 1 |
Promotion - Conference League 2025/2026 (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
Promotion - Conference League 2025/2026 (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)
