Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Mainz W vs Andernach W

Germany Germany

2. Bundesliga Women 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Bouziane C.
21'
Donner A.
30'
Waschenbach L.

AI Match Summary

Mainz W in this 2. Bundesliga Women 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 5-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Mainz W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Mainz W
15%
Draws
57%
Andernach W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Andernach W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

28% / Low Confidence
  • Mainz W have won more games recently than Andernach W.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Mainz W Clean Sheet 15%
Andernach W Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mainz W Andernach W
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 13 12
Draws 5 5
Losses 10 12
Goals Scored 2.32 1.66
Goals Conceded 1.54 1.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 22, 2026 2. Bundesliga Women
Mainz W vs Andernach W
5:2
Sep 21, 2025 2. Bundesliga Women
Andernach W vs Mainz W
3:0
Mar 31, 2018 2. Bundesliga Women
Mainz W vs Andernach W
2:4
Nov 5, 2017 2. Bundesliga Women
Andernach W vs Mainz W
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mainz W Compare

Top Goalscorer Bouziane C.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Kats V.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Andernach W Compare

Top Goalscorer Weingarz M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mainz W 30 / 100
Andernach W 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mainz W Andernach W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mainz W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Andernach W has conceded goals in 90% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 4.75 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Mainz W scored in 68% of their last 28 outings.

Andernach W lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Mainz W VS Andernach W
0.5 Goals Scored 1.25
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Mainz W

(Home)
26 Sept
Ingolstadt W
1 : 6
Mainz W
18 Sept
Mainz W
2 : 3
Eintracht Frankfurt W
13 Sept
Freiburg W
3 : 0
Mainz W
05 Sept
Mainz W
0 : 4
Koln W
31 Aug
Bayern Munich W
2 : 0
Mainz W
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Andernach W

(Away)
26 Sept
Andernach W
1 : 2
Freiburg W
20 Sept
Andernach W
2 : 1
Carl Zeiss Jena W
13 Sept
Andernach W
0 : 1
Eintracht Frankfurt II W
06 Sept
Bochum W
6 : 0
Andernach W
30 Aug
Andernach W
2 : 1
Hoffenheim II W
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 VfB Stuttgart W 26 17 7 2 81:33 58
2 Mainz W 26 17 4 5 77:29 55
3 SC Sand W 26 16 5 5 53:26 53
4 Meppen W 26 15 4 7 56:26 49
5 Viktoria Berlin W 26 12 9 5 41:20 45
6 Andernach W 26 10 8 8 46:44 38
7 Ingolstadt W 26 12 2 12 45:48 38
8 Eintracht Frankfurt II W 26 9 6 11 38:38 33
9 Bochum W 26 9 5 12 33:40 32
10 B. Monchengladbach W 26 9 4 13 39:53 31
11 Potsdam W 26 9 3 14 37:50 30
12 Bayern Munich II W 26 8 3 15 40:64 27
13 Wolfsburg II W 26 6 1 19 38:75 19
14 VfR Warbeyen W 26 1 3 22 21:99 6
Promotion - Bundesliga Women (Main)