Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Mainz W vs Koln W

Germany Germany

Bundesliga Women Bruchwegstadion, Mainz
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Ziemer T.
Assist: Nachtigall S.
41'
Jackson S.
41' Event
Nachtigall S.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The Bundesliga Women game between Mainz W and Koln W finished 0-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Koln W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

11%
Mainz W
20%
Draws
69%
Koln W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Koln W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / High Confidence
  • Koln W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 69% — that's where the model lands on Koln W taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Koln W have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Mainz W Clean Sheet 10%
Koln W Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mainz W Koln W
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 15 16
Draws 5 3
Losses 8 10
Goals Scored 2.5 1.86
Goals Conceded 1.39 1.31
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 2.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 Bundesliga Women
Mainz W vs Koln W
0:4
Apr 23, 2017 2. Bundesliga Women
Mainz W vs Koln W
2:3
Nov 5, 2016 2. Bundesliga Women
Koln W vs Mainz W
1:0
Aug 21, 2016 DFB Pokal Women
Koln W vs Mainz W
3:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mainz W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Koln W Compare

Top Goalscorer Ziemer T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Leimenstoll V.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.22
Avg xA / game 1.36

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mainz W 10 / 100
Koln W 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mainz W Koln W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Koln W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.25 goals as a typical output.

Mainz W found the back of the net in 71% of recent matches (28 games).

Koln W let in goals in 69% of their last 29 matches.

Mainz W went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Mainz W VS Koln W
1.13 Goals Scored 2.88
2 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Mainz W

(Home)
05 Sept
Mainz W
0 : 4
Koln W
31 Aug
Bayern Munich W
2 : 0
Mainz W
24 Aug
Mainz W
1 : 2
Werder Bremen W
15 Aug
Strasbourg W
1 : 1
Mainz W
25 Jul
LASK Linz W
0 : 0
Mainz W
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Koln W

(Away)
05 Sept
Mainz W
0 : 4
Koln W
28 Aug
Koln W
1 : 0
Hoffenheim W
22 Aug
Eintracht Frankfurt W
2 : 0
Koln W
15 Aug
Koln W
2 : 1
Leuven W
08 Aug
Koln W
5 : 1
Twente W
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Wolfsburg W 3 3 0 0 13:5 9
2 Bayern Munich W 3 3 0 0 10:2 9
3 Eintracht Frankfurt W 3 2 1 0 4:1 7
4 VfB Stuttgart W 3 2 1 0 7:5 7
5 Koln W 3 2 0 1 5:2 6
6 Werder Bremen W 3 2 0 1 6:4 6
7 Bayer Leverkusen W 3 2 0 1 5:3 6
8 Freiburg W 3 1 1 1 3:5 4
9 Hamburger W 3 0 2 1 3:4 2
10 1.FC Nurnberg W 3 0 2 1 6:12 2
11 RB Leipzig W 3 0 1 2 1:5 1
12 Hoffenheim W 3 0 0 3 2:5 0
13 Union Berlin W 3 0 0 3 1:6 0
14 Mainz W 3 0 0 3 1:8 0
Relegation - 2. Bundesliga Women 2027/2028 (Main)