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Mairena vs AD Ceuta

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Tercera Division - Group 10 2013/2014
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AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 10 2013/2014 game between Mairena and AD Ceuta finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Mairena
15%
Draws
42%
AD Ceuta
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Mairena

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Mairena haven't matched AD Ceuta's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 10 2013/2014 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Mairena Clean Sheet 20%
AD Ceuta Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mairena AD Ceuta
Matches Played 30 40
Wins 9 18
Draws 7 7
Losses 14 15
Goals Scored 1.1 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.27 1.4
Expected Goals (xG) 1.60 0.99
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 6, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Mairena vs AD Ceuta
1:0
Aug 30, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
AD Ceuta vs Mairena
2:1
Feb 2, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Mairena vs AD Ceuta
0:0
Sep 21, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
AD Ceuta vs Mairena
3:1
Mar 3, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
AD Ceuta vs Mairena
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mairena 31 / 100
AD Ceuta 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mairena AD Ceuta

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MAI Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mairena found the back of the net in 60% of recent matches (30 games).

Defensive concern: AD Ceuta conceded in 75% of 40 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Mairena remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS AD Ceuta
0 Goals Scored 0.88
0 Goals Conceded 2
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Mairena

(Home)
17 May
Mairena
3 : 2
Cadiz B
10 May
Sevilla C
3 : 0
Mairena
01 May
Mairena
3 : 0
Lebrijana
26 Apr
Mairena
5 : 1
Arcos CF
19 Apr
CD Alcala
1 : 0
Mairena
Page 1 of 6

AD Ceuta

(Away)
07 Aug
AD Ceuta
2 : 1
Malaga
29 Jul
Cadiz
1 : 3
AD Ceuta
26 Jul
Sevilla
2 : 1
AD Ceuta
22 Jul
Torremolinos
1 : 0
AD Ceuta
30 May
AD Ceuta
1 : 0
Albacete
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Betis B 38 23 7 8 70:37 76
2 San Roque de Lepe 38 22 9 7 60:29 75
3 CD Alcala 38 21 9 8 78:43 72
4 AD Ceuta 38 20 9 9 54:33 69
5 Mairena 38 17 10 11 61:54 61
6 CD Gerena 38 15 15 8 64:40 60
7 Cabecense 38 16 10 12 60:45 58
8 CMD San Juan 38 14 14 10 54:53 56
9 Lebrijana 38 16 7 15 51:49 55
10 Conil 38 16 7 15 41:43 55
11 Cadiz B 38 15 7 16 49:46 52
12 Coria C.F. 38 13 12 13 48:53 51
13 Atl. Onubense (Huelva B) 38 14 8 16 57:58 50
14 San Roque de Cadiz 38 14 6 18 56:54 48
15 Sevilla C 38 12 9 17 43:58 45
16 La Palma CF 38 13 5 20 46:61 44
17 Arcos CF 38 11 9 18 36:53 42
18 Pozoblanco 38 12 6 20 37:68 42
19 Xerez CD 38 8 8 22 41:65 32
20 Ayamonte 38 4 1 33 16:80 13
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2013/2014 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2013/2014 (Main)