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Mairena vs Cadiz B

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Tercera Division - Group 10 2013/2014
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AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 10 2013/2014 game between Mairena and Cadiz B finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Cadiz B.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Mairena
20%
Draws
29%
Cadiz B
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Mairena

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Cadiz B's 1.2 goals per match outpaces what Mairena have produced (1.1).
  • Win probability leans Mairena's way, sitting at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Mairena Clean Sheet 17%
Cadiz B Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mairena Cadiz B
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 9
Draws 7 7
Losses 14 14
Goals Scored 1.1 1.2
Goals Conceded 1.27 1.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 1.43
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Mairena vs Cadiz B
3:2
Dec 28, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Cadiz B vs Mairena
2:0
Mar 30, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Mairena vs Cadiz B
1:2
Nov 10, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Cadiz B vs Mairena
4:0
Feb 24, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Mairena vs Cadiz B
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mairena 48 / 100
Cadiz B 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mairena Cadiz B

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mairena Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

Mairena scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

Cadiz B has conceded goals in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Mairena went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Cadiz B
0 Goals Scored 1.75
0 Goals Conceded 0.88
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Mairena

(Home)
17 May
Mairena
3 : 2
Cadiz B
10 May
Sevilla C
3 : 0
Mairena
01 May
Mairena
3 : 0
Lebrijana
26 Apr
Mairena
5 : 1
Arcos CF
19 Apr
CD Alcala
1 : 0
Mairena
Page 1 of 6

Cadiz B

(Away)
26 Sept
Cadiz B
0 : 1
Pozoblanco
20 Sept
Conil
0 : 2
Cadiz B
13 Sept
Cadiz B
0 : 0
Dos Hermanas
06 Sept
Tomares UD
2 : 2
Cadiz B
29 Aug
Cadiz B
0 : 1
Atletico Central
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Betis B 38 23 7 8 70:37 76
2 San Roque de Lepe 38 22 9 7 60:29 75
3 CD Alcala 38 21 9 8 78:43 72
4 AD Ceuta 38 20 9 9 54:33 69
5 Mairena 38 17 10 11 61:54 61
6 CD Gerena 38 15 15 8 64:40 60
7 Cabecense 38 16 10 12 60:45 58
8 CMD San Juan 38 14 14 10 54:53 56
9 Lebrijana 38 16 7 15 51:49 55
10 Conil 38 16 7 15 41:43 55
11 Cadiz B 38 15 7 16 49:46 52
12 Coria C.F. 38 13 12 13 48:53 51
13 Atl. Onubense (Huelva B) 38 14 8 16 57:58 50
14 San Roque de Cadiz 38 14 6 18 56:54 48
15 Sevilla C 38 12 9 17 43:58 45
16 La Palma CF 38 13 5 20 46:61 44
17 Arcos CF 38 11 9 18 36:53 42
18 Pozoblanco 38 12 6 20 37:68 42
19 Xerez CD 38 8 8 22 41:65 32
20 Ayamonte 38 4 1 33 16:80 13
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2013/2014 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2013/2014 (Main)