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Mairena vs PD Rociera - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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Tercera Division - Group 10 2011/2012
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AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 10 2011/2012 game between Mairena and PD Rociera finished 5-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Mairena.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

77%
Mairena
15%
Draws
8%
PD Rociera
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Mairena

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

77% / Very High Confidence
  • Mairena carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Mairena a 77% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Mairena Clean Sheet 20%
PD Rociera Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mairena PD Rociera
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 6
Draws 7 7
Losses 14 17
Goals Scored 1.1 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.27 1.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 8, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
PD Rociera vs Mairena
2:1
Oct 26, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Mairena vs PD Rociera
0:0
Jan 22, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Mairena vs PD Rociera
5:0
Sep 4, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
PD Rociera vs Mairena
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mairena 85 / 100
PD Rociera 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mairena PD Rociera

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mairena Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

PD Rociera let in goals in 90% of their last 30 matches.

Mairena scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Mairena went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Mairena VS PD Rociera
1.38 Goals Scored 0.75
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.88
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Mairena

(Home)
17 May
Mairena
3 : 2
Cadiz B
10 May
Sevilla C
3 : 0
Mairena
01 May
Mairena
3 : 0
Lebrijana
26 Apr
Mairena
5 : 1
Arcos CF
19 Apr
CD Alcala
1 : 0
Mairena
Page 1 of 6

PD Rociera

(Away)
17 May
PD Rociera
1 : 1
Ecija
10 May
CD Guadalcacin
2 : 1
PD Rociera
03 May
PD Rociera
0 : 2
Algeciras
26 Apr
Conil
3 : 1
PD Rociera
19 Apr
PD Rociera
1 : 3
CD Gerena
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sanluqueno 38 28 5 5 81:32 89
2 CD San Fernando 38 22 8 8 88:52 74
3 Mairena 38 20 11 7 64:32 71
4 Coria C.F. 38 20 8 10 72:46 68
5 Sevilla C 38 20 6 12 67:46 66
6 Algeciras 38 17 8 13 57:50 59
7 CD Alcala 38 13 18 7 58:52 57
8 Atl. Onubense (Huelva B) 38 16 6 16 59:55 54
9 Cadiz B 38 13 11 14 53:53 50
10 Cordoba B 38 11 12 15 35:37 45
11 Conil 38 11 12 15 47:68 45
12 Pozoblanco 38 10 15 13 47:49 45
13 Antoniano 38 10 13 15 31:45 43
14 San Roque de Cadiz 38 11 9 18 53:67 42
15 Arcos CF 38 9 13 16 45:63 40
16 Portuense 38 8 15 15 41:53 39
17 Ayamonte 38 10 8 20 46:72 38
18 Murallas de Ceuta FC 38 9 11 18 34:51 38
19 Marinaleda 38 9 11 18 39:59 38
20 PD Rociera 38 9 8 21 40:75 35
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2011/2012 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2011/2012 (Main)