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Maitland vs Edgeworth Eagles FC

Australia Australia

NPL Northern NSW Cooks Square Park, Maitland
Our Tip

Match Events

26' Event
McFarlane D.
47' Event
McFarlane D.
58' Event
McManus R.

AI Match Summary

Maitland in this NPL Northern NSW matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Maitland.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Maitland
15%
Draws
37%
Edgeworth Eagles FC
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Maitland

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Maitland lately — more wins on the board than Edgeworth Eagles FC.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Regular NPL Northern NSW form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Maitland Clean Sheet 17%
Edgeworth Eagles FC Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Maitland Edgeworth Eagles FC
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 17 14
Draws 4 6
Losses 11 10
Goals Scored 1.66 1.7
Goals Conceded 1.47 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 30, 2026 NPL Northern NSW
Maitland vs Edgeworth Eagles FC
2:1
Aug 16, 2026 NPL Northern NSW
Maitland vs Edgeworth Eagles FC
2:1
May 9, 2026 NPL Northern NSW
Edgeworth Eagles FC vs Maitland
3:1
Jul 5, 2025 NPL Northern NSW
Edgeworth Eagles FC vs Maitland
2:0
Apr 6, 2025 NPL Northern NSW
Maitland vs Edgeworth Eagles FC
0:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Maitland Compare

Top Goalscorer McFarlane D.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Edgeworth Eagles FC Compare

Top Goalscorer McManus R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Maitland 31 / 100
Edgeworth Eagles FC 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Maitland Edgeworth Eagles FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Maitland scored in 91% of their last 32 games.

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

Defensive concern: Edgeworth Eagles FC conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.

Maitland went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Maitland VS Edgeworth Eagles FC
1.5 Goals Scored 1.88
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Maitland

(Home)
13 Sept
Weston Workers Bears
2 : 0
Maitland
06 Sept
Broadmeadow Magic FC
0 : 1
Maitland
30 Aug
Maitland
2 : 1
Edgeworth Eagles FC
23 Aug
Maitland
0 : 1
Weston Workers Bears
16 Aug
Maitland
2 : 1
Edgeworth Eagles FC
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Edgeworth Eagles FC

(Away)
30 Aug
Maitland
2 : 1
Edgeworth Eagles FC
23 Aug
Edgeworth Eagles FC
3 : 2
Belmont Swansea United
16 Aug
Maitland
2 : 1
Edgeworth Eagles FC
12 Aug
Charlestown Azzurri
0 : 2
Edgeworth Eagles FC
08 Aug
Edgeworth Eagles FC
0 : 0
Weston Workers Bears
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Broadmeadow Magic FC 22 15 4 3 59:23 49
2 Maitland 22 13 3 6 40:32 42
3 Weston Workers Bears 22 12 5 5 48:33 41
4 Edgeworth Eagles FC 22 11 6 5 41:31 39
5 Belmont Swansea United 22 10 5 7 47:44 35
6 Cooks Hill United 22 9 6 7 43:36 33
7 Valentine 22 7 5 10 22:39 26
8 Lambton Jaffas FC 22 7 4 11 38:33 25
9 Adamstown Rosebud 22 6 6 10 34:45 24
10 Newcastle Olympic 22 5 6 11 39:40 21
11 Kahibah 22 6 2 14 35:53 20
12 Charlestown Azzurri 22 4 2 16 25:62 14
Promotion - NPL Northern NSW (Play Offs)
Relegation - NPL Northern NSW (Relegation)