Sport Picks
Maitland vs Newcastle Olympic
Australia
NPL Northern NSW Cooks Square Park, Maitland 
Match Events
3'
3'
Thompson J.
AI Match Summary
Maitland in this NPL Northern NSW matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Maitland.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
64%
15%
21%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Maitland
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
15%
/ Low Confidence
- Maitland have won more games recently than Newcastle Olympic.
- Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
- Regular NPL Northern NSW form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.4%
Maitland Clean Sheet 16%
Newcastle Olympic Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Maitland | Newcastle Olympic |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 33 | 30 |
| Wins | 18 | 9 |
| Draws | 4 | 7 |
| Losses | 11 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1.85 | 1.93 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.48 | 1.8 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.56 | 1.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jun 21, 2026 NPL Northern NSW
Maitland vs Newcastle Olympic
1:0
Mar 21, 2026 NPL Northern NSW
Newcastle Olympic vs Maitland
2:3
Jun 22, 2025 NPL Northern NSW
Newcastle Olympic vs Maitland
1:1
Mar 23, 2025 NPL Northern NSW
Maitland vs Newcastle Olympic
3:5
Jun 15, 2024 NPL Northern NSW
Maitland vs Newcastle Olympic
1:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Maitland Compare
Top Goalscorer Thompson J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78
Newcastle Olympic Compare
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Maitland 31 / 100
Newcastle Olympic 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Maitland Newcastle Olympic
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Maitland found the back of the net in 91% of recent matches (33 games).
Newcastle Olympic's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 30 matches.
Games between these two average 3.80 goals.
Maitland has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Maitland VS Newcastle Olympic
1.5 Goals Scored 2.13
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.63
63% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Maitland
(Home) 13 Sept
Weston Workers Bears
2 : 0 Maitland
06 Sept
Broadmeadow Magic FC
0 : 1 Maitland
30 Aug
Maitland
2 : 1 Edgeworth Eagles FC
23 Aug
Maitland
0 : 1 Weston Workers Bears
16 Aug
Maitland
2 : 1 Edgeworth Eagles FC
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30 Aug
Maitland
2 : 1 Edgeworth Eagles FC
23 Aug
Maitland
0 : 1 Weston Workers Bears
16 Aug
Maitland
2 : 1 Edgeworth Eagles FC
25 Jul
Maitland
0 : 1 Broadmeadow Magic FC
22 Jul
Maitland
1 : 2 Fremantle City
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Newcastle Olympic
(Away) 16 Aug
Lambton Jaffas FC
2 : 0 Newcastle Olympic
08 Aug
Newcastle Olympic
1 : 2 Valentine
26 Jul
Edgeworth Eagles FC
2 : 0 Newcastle Olympic
22 Jul
Newcastle Olympic
5 : 2 Belmont Swansea United
12 Jul
Broadmeadow Magic FC
2 : 1 Newcastle Olympic
Page 1 of 6
16 Aug
Lambton Jaffas FC
2 : 0 Newcastle Olympic
26 Jul
Edgeworth Eagles FC
2 : 0 Newcastle Olympic
12 Jul
Broadmeadow Magic FC
2 : 1 Newcastle Olympic
21 Jun
Maitland
1 : 0 Newcastle Olympic
30 May
Adamstown Rosebud
2 : 0 Newcastle Olympic
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Broadmeadow Magic FC | 22 | 15 | 4 | 3 | 59:23 | 49 |
| 2 | Maitland | 22 | 13 | 3 | 6 | 40:32 | 42 |
| 3 | Weston Workers Bears | 22 | 12 | 5 | 5 | 48:33 | 41 |
| 4 | Edgeworth Eagles FC | 22 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 41:31 | 39 |
| 5 | Belmont Swansea United | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 47:44 | 35 |
| 6 | Cooks Hill United | 22 | 9 | 6 | 7 | 43:36 | 33 |
| 7 | Valentine | 22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 22:39 | 26 |
| 8 | Lambton Jaffas FC | 22 | 7 | 4 | 11 | 38:33 | 25 |
| 9 | Adamstown Rosebud | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 34:45 | 24 |
| 10 | Newcastle Olympic | 22 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 39:40 | 21 |
| 11 | Kahibah | 22 | 6 | 2 | 14 | 35:53 | 20 |
| 12 | Charlestown Azzurri | 22 | 4 | 2 | 16 | 25:62 | 14 |
Promotion - NPL Northern NSW (Play Offs)
Relegation - NPL Northern NSW (Relegation)
