Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Makedonija GP vs Arsimi

North Macedonia North Macedonia

1. MFL 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

32' Event
Jusufi F.
42'
Sub
Estupinan Riascos J. H. In: Nikolic S.
Out: Estupinan Riascos J. H.
50'
Pecov H.

AI Match Summary

The 1. MFL 2025/2026 game between Makedonija GP and Arsimi finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Arsimi.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%
Makedonija GP
15%
Draws
32%
Arsimi
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Makedonija GP

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Makedonija GP haven't matched Arsimi's recent run of results.
  • Makedonija GP are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular 1. MFL 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 41%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Makedonija GP Clean Sheet 18%
Arsimi Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Makedonija GP Arsimi
Matches Played 28 31
Wins 6 12
Draws 9 5
Losses 13 14
Goals Scored 1.25 1.26
Goals Conceded 1.82 1.84
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.34
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 9, 2026 1. MFL
Makedonija GP vs Arsimi
0:1
Mar 1, 2026 1. MFL
Arsimi vs Makedonija GP
1:1
Oct 3, 2025 1. MFL
Makedonija GP vs Arsimi
4:1
May 10, 2025 2. MFL
Arsimi vs Makedonija GP
0:0
Nov 30, 2024 2. MFL
Makedonija GP vs Arsimi
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Makedonija GP Compare

Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

Arsimi Compare

Top Goalscorer Jusufi F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.22
Avg xA / game 0.74

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Makedonija GP 85 / 100
Arsimi 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Makedonija GP Arsimi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Makedonija GP Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Makedonija GP found the back of the net in 64% of recent matches (28 games).

Arsimi let in goals in 71% of their last 31 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.

Makedonija GP went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Makedonija GP VS Arsimi
2 Goals Scored 1.25
1.43 Goals Conceded 1.63
71% Over 1.5 75%
71% Over 2.5 38%
57% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Makedonija GP

(Home)
25 May
Makedonija GP
4 : 2
Sileks
16 May
Bashkimi
3 : 3
Makedonija GP
10 May
Makedonija GP
1 : 4
Tikves
01 May
Shkupi
0 : 4
Makedonija GP
25 Apr
Makedonija GP
2 : 1
Rabotnicki
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Arsimi

(Away)
14 Aug
Arsimi
1 : 0
Bashkimi
08 Aug
Bregalnica Stip
4 : 0
Arsimi
01 Aug
Arsimi
4 : 1
Teteks
24 Jul
Tikves
5 : 1
Arsimi
19 Jul
FK Skopje
2 : 1
Arsimi
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vardar 33 26 5 2 80:21 83
2 Shkendija Tetovo 33 23 5 5 67:30 74
3 Struga 33 19 5 9 68:28 62
4 Sileks 33 16 5 12 59:36 53
5 Tikves 33 14 6 13 59:47 48
6 Arsimi 33 13 7 13 50:53 46
7 Bashkimi 33 11 9 13 40:54 42
8 Pelister 33 10 10 13 41:42 40
9 Brera Strumica 33 10 10 13 46:56 40
10 Makedonija GP 33 9 7 17 42:57 34
11 Rabotnicki 33 9 6 18 45:58 33
12 Shkupi 33 0 1 32 15:130 1
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - 1. MFL 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - 2. MFL (Main)