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Makedonija GP vs Ljubanci - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

North Macedonia North Macedonia

Macedonian Cup 2015/2016 Stadion Gjorče Petrov, Skopje
Our Tip

Match Events

34' Event
Kostovski K.
37'
Nasevski I.
45' Event
Jancevski B.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 3-2, with Makedonija GP advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Makedonija GP
15%
Draws
34%
Ljubanci
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Makedonija GP

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Makedonija GP come out ahead of Ljubanci on wins alone.
  • Model gives Makedonija GP a 51% chance of winning this.
  • Makedonija GP have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Makedonija GP, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Makedonija GP Clean Sheet 68%
Ljubanci Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Makedonija GP Ljubanci
Matches Played 39 30
Wins 15 9
Draws 10 8
Losses 14 13
Goals Scored 1.67 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.21 1.23
Expected Goals (xG) 0.85 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 19, 2016 2. MFL
Makedonija GP vs Ljubanci
0:0
Mar 19, 2016 2. MFL
Makedonija GP vs Ljubanci
3:2
Oct 24, 2015 2. MFL
Ljubanci vs Makedonija GP
3:2
Oct 21, 2015 Macedonian Cup
Ljubanci vs Makedonija GP
0:0
Sep 30, 2015 Macedonian Cup
Makedonija GP vs Ljubanci
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Makedonija GP Compare

Top Goalscorer Kostovski K.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Jancevski B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.65
Avg xA / game 0.42

Ljubanci Compare

Top Goalscorer Kolekjeski F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Makedonija GP 95 / 100
Ljubanci 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Makedonija GP Ljubanci

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Makedonija GP Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Makedonija GP scored in 69% of their last 39 games.

Ljubanci has conceded goals in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Away concern: Ljubanci has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Makedonija GP VS -
0.5 Goals Scored 0
2 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Makedonija GP

(Home)
19 Sept
Makedonija GP
0 : 1
Rabotnicki
12 Sept
Makedonija GP
1 : 0
Kamjani
06 Sept
Brera Strumica
1 : 0
Makedonija GP
02 Sept
Vellazerimi
0 : 14
Makedonija GP
29 Aug
Makedonija GP
0 : 1
Pelister
Page 1 of 8

Ljubanci

(Away)
29 May
Novaci
2 : 1
Ljubanci
25 May
Ljubanci
3 : 1
Novaci
14 May
KF Gostivar
3 : 2
Ljubanci
07 May
Ljubanci
0 : 0
Pelister
30 Apr
Pobeda
1 : 0
Ljubanci
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Bregalnica Stip 2
Plackovica 0
Ljuboten Tetovo 1
Shkupi 5
Vellazerimi 3
Drita 0
Pobeda 1
Mladost Carev Dvor 2
Sileks 4
Prevalec 0
Gorno Lisice 1
Renova 2
KF Gostivar 1
Poeshevo 0
Fortuna Skopje 0
Rabotnicki 11
Turnovo 11
KF Liria Zagracani 0
Belasica Strumica 0
FK Skopje 2
Ljubanci 2
Teteks 1
Vulkan Kosel 0
Makedonija GP 3
Vardar 1
Miravci 0
Oktomvri 0
Pelister 8
Met. Skopje 9
Males 1
Zajazi 0
Shkendija Tetovo 4
1/8-finals
Bregalnica Stip 2
Shkupi 1
Vellazerimi 5
Mladost Carev Dvor 7
Sileks 5
Renova 2
KF Gostivar 0
Rabotnicki 8
Turnovo 5
FK Skopje 3
Ljubanci 2
Makedonija GP 3
Vardar 6
Pelister 1
Met. Skopje 0
Shkendija Tetovo 7
Quarter-finals
Bregalnica Stip 5
Mladost Carev Dvor 2
Sileks 1
Rabotnicki 5
Turnovo 4
Makedonija GP 3
Vardar 1
Shkendija Tetovo 5
Semi-finals
Bregalnica Stip 1
Rabotnicki 4
Turnovo 1
Shkendija Tetovo 4
Final
Rabotnicki 0
Shkendija Tetovo 2