Sport Picks
Maksimir vs Jadran Porec
Croatia
Croatian Cup 2025/2026 
Match Events
8'
8'
Radas M.
55'
55'
Stojanovic S.
60'
60'
Jakovcic I.
AI Match Summary
Maksimir in this Croatian Cup 2025/2026 tie, finishing 3-2. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
85%
15%
0%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Maksimir
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
85%
/ Very High Confidence
- Maksimir have won more games recently than Jadran Porec.
- 85% — that's where the model lands on Maksimir taking it.
- Maksimir have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Maksimir, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 75%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Maksimir Clean Sheet 10%
Jadran Porec Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Maksimir | Jadran Porec |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 15 | 3 |
| Draws | 5 | 1 |
| Losses | 10 | 26 |
| Goals Scored | 1.63 | 0.77 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.33 | 2.5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.81 | 1.94 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 26, 2025 Croatian Cup
Maksimir vs Jadran Porec
3:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Maksimir Compare
Top Goalscorer Nezic L.
2 Goals Assists Leader Radas M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91
Jadran Porec Compare
Top Goalscorer Stojanovic S.
1 Goals Assists Leader Jakovcic I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Maksimir 83 / 100
Jadran Porec 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Maksimir Jadran Porec
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Maksimir Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Jadran Porec has conceded goals in 93% of their last 30 outings.
H2H data points to 5.00 goals as a typical output.
Jadran Porec's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.
Maksimir scored in 73% of their last 30 games.
Scoring Trends
Maksimir VS Jadran Porec
1.5 Goals Scored 0.88
3 Goals Conceded 2.13
100% Over 1.5 75%
100% Over 2.5 63%
100% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Maksimir
(Home) 17 Sept
Maksimir
0 : 4 Rijeka
26 Aug
Maksimir
3 : 2 Jadran Porec
07 Aug
Kustosija
4 : 1 Maksimir
28 May
Vrapce
2 : 2 Maksimir
21 May
Maksimir
4 : 5 Ravnice
Page 1 of 6
17 Sept
Maksimir
0 : 4 Rijeka
26 Aug
Maksimir
3 : 2 Jadran Porec
21 May
Maksimir
4 : 5 Ravnice
13 May
Maksimir
1 : 0 Karlovac
04 May
Maksimir
5 : 1 Vrbovec
Page 1 of 4
Jadran Porec
(Away) 26 Aug
Maksimir
3 : 2 Jadran Porec
31 May
Jadran Porec
1 : 2 Marsonia
24 May
Solin
6 : 0 Jadran Porec
17 May
Grobnican
2 : 0 Jadran Porec
10 May
Jadran Porec
1 : 2 Trnje
Page 1 of 6
26 Aug
Maksimir
3 : 2 Jadran Porec
24 May
Solin
6 : 0 Jadran Porec
17 May
Grobnican
2 : 0 Jadran Porec
02 May
Karlovac
2 : 0 Jadran Porec
18 Apr
Dragovoljac
0 : 1 Jadran Porec
Page 1 of 4
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
Radnik Krizevci 5
Drnis 0
TBD -
Mladost Zdralovi -
Maksimir 3
Jadran Porec 2
TBD -
Rijeka -
Nehaj Senj 1
Vukovar 1991 2
TBD -
Cibalia -
NK Koprivnica 1
Pitomaca 0
TBD -
Hajduk Split -
Slavonija Pozega 1
Marsonia 0
TBD -
Bijelo Brdo -
NK Radnicki Dalj 0
Granicar Kotoriba 2
TBD -
Slaven Belupo -
Jedinstvo (DM) 0
Dugo Selo 3
TBD -
Lok. Zagreb -
Varteks Varazdin (2011) 3
Moslavina 0
TBD -
Sibenik -
Spansko 0
Gaj Mace 1
TBD -
Varazdin -
Uljanik Pula 2
Bjelovar 0
TBD -
Osijek -
Belica 1
Solin 4
TBD -
Rudes -
NK Libertas Novska 2
Opatija 1
TBD -
HNK Gorica -
Bednja Beletinec 1
Karlovac 4
TBD -
Belisce -
Bedem Ivankovo 3
NK Dinamo Predavac 5
TBD -
Din. Zagreb -
Zemunik 2
Kurilovec 12
TBD -
Oriolik -
Neretva 6
Zadrugar Oprisavci 2
TBD -
Istra 1961 -
1/16-finals
Radnik Krizevci 0
Mladost Zdralovi 1
Maksimir 0
Rijeka 4
Vukovar 1991 0
Cibalia 1
NK Koprivnica 1
Hajduk Split 4
Slavonija Pozega 0
Bijelo Brdo 2
Granicar Kotoriba 0
Slaven Belupo 5
Dugo Selo 0
Lok. Zagreb 4
Varteks Varazdin (2011) 4
Sibenik 1
Gaj Mace 1
Varazdin 7
Uljanik Pula 0
Osijek 4
Solin 1
Rudes 2
NK Libertas Novska 1
HNK Gorica 3
Karlovac 5
Belisce 0
NK Dinamo Predavac 0
Din. Zagreb 6
Kurilovec 5
Oriolik 0
Neretva 1
Istra 1961 2
1/8-finals
Mladost Zdralovi 1
Rijeka 4
Cibalia 0
Hajduk Split 1
Bijelo Brdo 0
Slaven Belupo 3
Lok. Zagreb 4
Varteks Varazdin (2011) 0
Varazdin 2
Osijek 1
Rudes 0
HNK Gorica 6
Karlovac 0
Din. Zagreb 7
Kurilovec 2
Istra 1961 1
Quarter-finals
Rijeka 3
Hajduk Split 2
Slaven Belupo 2
Lok. Zagreb 1
Varazdin 1
HNK Gorica 3
Din. Zagreb 2
Kurilovec 0
Semi-finals
Rijeka 2
Slaven Belupo 0
HNK Gorica 3
Din. Zagreb 6
Final
Rijeka 0
Din. Zagreb 2
