Sport Picks
Match Events
63'
63'
Dantas T.
68'
68'
Juric A.
72'
72'
Adu Adjei D.
AI Match Summary
This match ends 0-4, with Rijeka advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
40%
20%
40%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
20%
/ Low Confidence
- Rijeka have managed 1.36 goals a game lately — Maksimir are scoring more at 1.63.
- Maksimir are the model's pick here, at 42%.
- Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
- Historical meetings favor Rijeka, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.6%
Maksimir Clean Sheet 17%
Rijeka Clean Sheet 18%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Maksimir | Rijeka |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 28 |
| Wins | 15 | 15 |
| Draws | 5 | 5 |
| Losses | 10 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.63 | 1.36 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.33 | 0.96 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.79 | 1.43 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 17, 2025 Croatian Cup
Maksimir vs Rijeka
0:4
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Maksimir Compare
Avg xG / game 0.61
Avg xA / game 0.4
Rijeka Compare
Top Goalscorer Dantas T.
1 Goals Assists Leader Juric A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.79
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Maksimir 41 / 100
Rijeka 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Maksimir Rijeka
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.
Attacking prowess: Maksimir scored in 73% of their last 30 outings.
Away concern: Rijeka has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.
Rijeka let in goals in 50% of their last 28 matches.
Scoring Trends
- VS Rijeka
0 Goals Scored 1.75
0 Goals Conceded 0.38
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Maksimir
(Home) 17 Sept
Maksimir
0 : 4 Rijeka
26 Aug
Maksimir
3 : 2 Jadran Porec
07 Aug
Kustosija
4 : 1 Maksimir
28 May
Vrapce
2 : 2 Maksimir
21 May
Maksimir
4 : 5 Ravnice
Page 1 of 6
17 Sept
Maksimir
0 : 4 Rijeka
26 Aug
Maksimir
3 : 2 Jadran Porec
21 May
Maksimir
4 : 5 Ravnice
13 May
Maksimir
1 : 0 Karlovac
04 May
Maksimir
5 : 1 Vrbovec
Page 1 of 4
Rijeka
(Away) 27 Aug
Rijeka
1 : 4 Midtjylland
23 Aug
Rijeka
3 : 2 Istra 1961
20 Aug
Midtjylland
2 : 0 Rijeka
16 Aug
Varazdin
2 : 0 Rijeka
13 Aug
Ilves
1 : 1 Rijeka
Page 1 of 6
20 Aug
Midtjylland
2 : 0 Rijeka
16 Aug
Varazdin
2 : 0 Rijeka
13 Aug
Ilves
1 : 1 Rijeka
30 Jul
Derry City
0 : 1 Rijeka
03 Jul
Radomlje
0 : 2 Rijeka
Page 1 of 4
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
Radnik Krizevci 5
Drnis 0
TBD -
Mladost Zdralovi -
Maksimir 3
Jadran Porec 2
TBD -
Rijeka -
Nehaj Senj 1
Vukovar 1991 2
TBD -
Cibalia -
NK Koprivnica 1
Pitomaca 0
TBD -
Hajduk Split -
Slavonija Pozega 1
Marsonia 0
TBD -
Bijelo Brdo -
NK Radnicki Dalj 0
Granicar Kotoriba 2
TBD -
Slaven Belupo -
Jedinstvo (DM) 0
Dugo Selo 3
TBD -
Lok. Zagreb -
Varteks Varazdin (2011) 3
Moslavina 0
TBD -
Sibenik -
Spansko 0
Gaj Mace 1
TBD -
Varazdin -
Uljanik Pula 2
Bjelovar 0
TBD -
Osijek -
Belica 1
Solin 4
TBD -
Rudes -
NK Libertas Novska 2
Opatija 1
TBD -
HNK Gorica -
Bednja Beletinec 1
Karlovac 4
TBD -
Belisce -
Bedem Ivankovo 3
NK Dinamo Predavac 5
TBD -
Din. Zagreb -
Zemunik 2
Kurilovec 12
TBD -
Oriolik -
Neretva 6
Zadrugar Oprisavci 2
TBD -
Istra 1961 -
1/16-finals
Radnik Krizevci 0
Mladost Zdralovi 1
Maksimir 0
Rijeka 4
Vukovar 1991 0
Cibalia 1
NK Koprivnica 1
Hajduk Split 4
Slavonija Pozega 0
Bijelo Brdo 2
Granicar Kotoriba 0
Slaven Belupo 5
Dugo Selo 0
Lok. Zagreb 4
Varteks Varazdin (2011) 4
Sibenik 1
Gaj Mace 1
Varazdin 7
Uljanik Pula 0
Osijek 4
Solin 1
Rudes 2
NK Libertas Novska 1
HNK Gorica 3
Karlovac 5
Belisce 0
NK Dinamo Predavac 0
Din. Zagreb 6
Kurilovec 5
Oriolik 0
Neretva 1
Istra 1961 2
1/8-finals
Mladost Zdralovi 1
Rijeka 4
Cibalia 0
Hajduk Split 1
Bijelo Brdo 0
Slaven Belupo 3
Lok. Zagreb 4
Varteks Varazdin (2011) 0
Varazdin 2
Osijek 1
Rudes 0
HNK Gorica 6
Karlovac 0
Din. Zagreb 7
Kurilovec 2
Istra 1961 1
Quarter-finals
Rijeka 3
Hajduk Split 2
Slaven Belupo 2
Lok. Zagreb 1
Varazdin 1
HNK Gorica 3
Din. Zagreb 2
Kurilovec 0
Semi-finals
Rijeka 2
Slaven Belupo 0
HNK Gorica 3
Din. Zagreb 6
Final
Rijeka 0
Din. Zagreb 2
