Sport Picks
Malacateco vs Coban Imperial
Guatemala
Liga Nacional Estadio Santa Lucía, Malacatán 
Match Events
34'
34'
Calabrese B.
38'
38'
Morales K.
46'
46'
Sub
Sanchez D. In: Quinones E.
Out: Sanchez D.
AI Match Summary
The Liga Nacional game between Malacateco and Coban Imperial finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
29%
30%
41%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Coban Imperial
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
29%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Coban Imperial come out ahead of Malacateco on wins alone.
- Model gives Malacateco a 29% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Malacateco Clean Sheet 68%
Coban Imperial Clean Sheet 17%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Malacateco | Coban Imperial |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 8 | 10 |
| Draws | 6 | 10 |
| Losses | 15 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 0.9 | 1.24 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.24 | 1.1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.88 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 26, 2026 Liga Nacional
Malacateco vs Coban Imperial
1:1
Apr 17, 2026 Liga Nacional
Malacateco vs Coban Imperial
2:0
Feb 24, 2026 Liga Nacional
Coban Imperial vs Malacateco
2:0
Nov 15, 2025 Liga Nacional
Coban Imperial vs Malacateco
0:1
Sep 13, 2025 Liga Nacional
Malacateco vs Coban Imperial
3:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Malacateco Compare
Top Goalscorer Meneses R.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44
Coban Imperial Compare
Top Goalscorer Morales K.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Malacateco 50 / 100
Coban Imperial 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Malacateco Coban Imperial
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Malacateco Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Malacateco found the back of the net in 66% of recent matches (29 games).
Coban Imperial has conceded goals in 69% of their last 29 outings.
Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.
Malacateco went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Malacateco VS Coban Imperial
0.75 Goals Scored 0.88
1.13 Goals Conceded 1
50% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Malacateco
(Home) 08 Aug
Malacateco
2 : 2 Xelaju
02 Aug
Guastatoya
4 : 0 Malacateco
26 Jul
Malacateco
1 : 1 Coban Imperial
26 Apr
Malacateco
1 : 0 Comunicaciones
20 Apr
Antigua
2 : 1 Malacateco
Page 1 of 6
08 Aug
Malacateco
2 : 2 Xelaju
26 Jul
Malacateco
1 : 1 Coban Imperial
26 Apr
Malacateco
1 : 0 Comunicaciones
17 Apr
Malacateco
2 : 0 Coban Imperial
03 Apr
Malacateco
1 : 0 Guastatoya
Page 1 of 3
Coban Imperial
(Away) 15 Aug
Coban Imperial
3 : 2 Deportivo Mixco
09 Aug
Municipal
2 : 0 Coban Imperial
26 Jul
Malacateco
1 : 1 Coban Imperial
02 May
Deportivo Mixco
2 : 0 Coban Imperial
29 Apr
Coban Imperial
2 : 0 Deportivo Mixco
Page 1 of 6
09 Aug
Municipal
2 : 0 Coban Imperial
26 Jul
Malacateco
1 : 1 Coban Imperial
02 May
Deportivo Mixco
2 : 0 Coban Imperial
26 Apr
Xelaju
2 : 1 Coban Imperial
17 Apr
Malacateco
2 : 0 Coban Imperial
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Municipal | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6:2 | 9 |
| 2 | Guastatoya | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6:2 | 9 |
| 3 | Comunicaciones | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6:5 | 7 |
| 4 | Antigua | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5:1 | 6 |
| 5 | Deportivo San Pedro | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:1 | 6 |
| 6 | Deportivo Mixco | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5:5 | 6 |
| 7 | Xelaju | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5:4 | 4 |
| 8 | Coban Imperial | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:5 | 4 |
| 9 | Aurora F.C. | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:5 | 3 |
| 10 | Malacateco | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5:11 | 2 |
| 11 | Suchitepequez | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0:5 | 1 |
| 12 | Marquense | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2:6 | 0 |
Promotion - Liga Nacional (Apertura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga Nacional (Apertura - Play Offs)
