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Malacateco vs Coban Imperial - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Guatemala Guatemala

Liga Nacional Estadio Santa Lucía, Malacatán
Our Tip

Match Events

34'
Calabrese B.
38' Event
Morales K.
46'
Sub
Sanchez D. In: Quinones E.
Out: Sanchez D.

AI Match Summary

The Liga Nacional game between Malacateco and Coban Imperial finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Malacateco
35%
Draws
45%
Coban Imperial
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Coban Imperial

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Coban Imperial come out ahead of Malacateco on wins alone.
  • Model gives Coban Imperial a 45% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
Malacateco Clean Sheet 22%
Coban Imperial Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Malacateco Coban Imperial
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 7 8
Draws 6 10
Losses 15 10
Goals Scored 0.89 1.14
Goals Conceded 1.32 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 3, 2026 Liga Nacional
Coban Imperial vs Malacateco
2:0
Jul 26, 2026 Liga Nacional
Malacateco vs Coban Imperial
1:1
Apr 17, 2026 Liga Nacional
Malacateco vs Coban Imperial
2:0
Feb 24, 2026 Liga Nacional
Coban Imperial vs Malacateco
2:0
Nov 15, 2025 Liga Nacional
Coban Imperial vs Malacateco
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Malacateco Compare

Top Goalscorer Meneses R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Coban Imperial Compare

Top Goalscorer Morales K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Malacateco 29 / 100
Coban Imperial 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Malacateco Coban Imperial

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Coban Imperial Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Malacateco found the back of the net in 61% of recent matches (28 games).

Coban Imperial has conceded goals in 71% of their last 28 outings.

Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.

Malacateco went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Malacateco VS Coban Imperial
0.88 Goals Scored 1.13
1 Goals Conceded 1.63
63% Over 1.5 75%
13% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Malacateco

(Home)
03 Oct
Coban Imperial
2 : 0
Malacateco
27 Sept
Marquense
1 : 0
Malacateco
21 Sept
Malacateco
1 : 0
Deportivo Mixco
14 Sept
Municipal
2 : 2
Malacateco
11 Sept
Malacateco
0 : 2
Antigua
Page 1 of 6

Coban Imperial

(Away)
03 Oct
Coban Imperial
2 : 0
Malacateco
27 Sept
Coban Imperial
3 : 2
Aurora F.C.
20 Sept
Deportivo San Pedro
1 : 1
Coban Imperial
13 Sept
Coban Imperial
2 : 2
Comunicaciones
11 Sept
Xelaju
0 : 0
Coban Imperial
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Guastatoya 12 8 1 3 19:13 25
2 Municipal 10 7 2 1 16:5 23
3 Antigua 11 7 0 4 21:17 21
4 Marquense 12 6 1 5 13:15 19
5 Xelaju 12 5 3 4 24:14 18
6 Deportivo Mixco 11 6 0 5 19:17 18
7 Deportivo San Pedro 12 5 3 4 14:12 18
8 Comunicaciones 12 4 2 6 15:19 14
9 Coban Imperial 12 3 4 5 15:18 13
10 Aurora F.C. 12 4 0 8 17:21 12
11 Malacateco 12 3 3 6 12:19 12
12 Suchitepequez 12 1 3 8 11:26 6
Promotion - Liga Nacional (Apertura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga Nacional (Apertura - Play Offs)