Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Malacateco vs Deportivo San Pedro - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Guatemala Guatemala

Liga Nacional Estadio Santa Lucía, Malacatán
Our Tip

Match Events

30'
Colon S.
38'
Macal E.
40'
Meneses R.

AI Match Summary

Malacateco in this Liga Nacional matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Malacateco.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Malacateco
30%
Draws
39%
Deportivo San Pedro
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Deportivo San Pedro

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

31% / Low Confidence
  • Deportivo San Pedro haven't matched Malacateco's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.6%
Malacateco Clean Sheet 68%
Deportivo San Pedro Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Malacateco Deportivo San Pedro
Matches Played 28 12
Wins 7 5
Draws 6 3
Losses 15 4
Goals Scored 0.89 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.32 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 24, 2026 Liga Nacional
Malacateco vs Deportivo San Pedro
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Malacateco Compare

Top Goalscorer Ramirez K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Quinones E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Deportivo San Pedro Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Malacateco 41 / 100
Deportivo San Pedro 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Malacateco Deportivo San Pedro

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Malacateco Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Malacateco found the back of the net in 61% of recent matches (28 games).

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Defensive concern: Deportivo San Pedro conceded in 58% of 12 recent games.

Malacateco went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Malacateco VS Deportivo San Pedro
0.88 Goals Scored 1.25
1 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 75%
13% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Malacateco

(Home)
03 Oct
Coban Imperial
2 : 0
Malacateco
27 Sept
Marquense
1 : 0
Malacateco
21 Sept
Malacateco
1 : 0
Deportivo Mixco
14 Sept
Municipal
2 : 2
Malacateco
11 Sept
Malacateco
0 : 2
Antigua
Page 1 of 6

Deportivo San Pedro

(Away)
04 Oct
Xelaju
2 : 0
Deportivo San Pedro
26 Sept
Guastatoya
2 : 1
Deportivo San Pedro
20 Sept
Deportivo San Pedro
1 : 1
Coban Imperial
13 Sept
Marquense
0 : 0
Deportivo San Pedro
09 Sept
Deportivo San Pedro
2 : 0
Deportivo Mixco
Page 1 of 3

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Guastatoya 12 8 1 3 19:13 25
2 Municipal 11 7 3 1 17:6 24
3 Antigua 12 7 1 4 22:18 22
4 Marquense 12 6 1 5 13:15 19
5 Xelaju 12 5 3 4 24:14 18
6 Deportivo Mixco 11 6 0 5 19:17 18
7 Deportivo San Pedro 12 5 3 4 14:12 18
8 Comunicaciones 12 4 2 6 15:19 14
9 Coban Imperial 12 3 4 5 15:18 13
10 Aurora F.C. 12 4 0 8 17:21 12
11 Malacateco 12 3 3 6 12:19 12
12 Suchitepequez 12 1 3 8 11:26 6
Promotion - Liga Nacional (Apertura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga Nacional (Apertura - Play Offs)