Sport Picks
Malacateco vs Guastatoya - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Guatemala
Liga Nacional Estadio Santa Lucía, Malacatán 
AI Match Summary
Malacateco host Guastatoya in the Liga Nacional. Form suggests where the edge lies here. Recent numbers: Malacateco at 0.9 goals for, 1.35 against; Guastatoya at 1.32 for, 1.13 against. Past meetings favor Malacateco slightly — 2-2-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Aug 2, 2026, ending 4:0. xG projections (1.25 - 1.25) back Guastatoya to edge this. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Malacateco haven't matched Guastatoya's recent run of results.
- 61% — that's where the model lands on Guastatoya taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Malacateco | Guastatoya |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 31 |
| Wins | 7 | 13 |
| Draws | 8 | 6 |
| Losses | 16 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 0.9 | 1.32 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.35 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.25 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Malacateco found the back of the net in 65% of recent matches (31 games).
Guastatoya's defensive record shows goals conceded in 74% of 31 matches.
Games between these two average 2.20 goals.
Malacateco has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Malacateco
(Home)Guastatoya
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Municipal | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 16:5 | 23 |
| 2 | Guastatoya | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 17:12 | 22 |
| 3 | Antigua | 11 | 7 | 0 | 4 | 21:17 | 21 |
| 4 | Marquense | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 13:15 | 19 |
| 5 | Xelaju | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 24:14 | 18 |
| 6 | Deportivo Mixco | 11 | 6 | 0 | 5 | 19:17 | 18 |
| 7 | Deportivo San Pedro | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 14:12 | 18 |
| 8 | Coban Imperial | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 15:18 | 13 |
| 9 | Aurora F.C. | 11 | 4 | 0 | 7 | 16:19 | 12 |
| 10 | Malacateco | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 12:19 | 12 |
| 11 | Comunicaciones | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 12:19 | 11 |
| 12 | Suchitepequez | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 11:23 | 6 |
